Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio El Campín (Bogotá) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Mexico	19:30	Fanatiz
South America	—	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	20:30	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Independiente Santa Fe		Rionegro Águilas

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	4.1	Watch
	1.98	3.25	3.95	Watch
	1.93	3.34	4.08	Watch
	1.95	3	3.8
	1.94	3.22	4.06	Watch
	1.92	3.2	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.75)	3.21 ↓ (3.25)	4.03 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Santa Fe
47.9%

Draw
29%

Rionegro Águilas
23.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.9%

27.9%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Independiente Santa Fe - Rionegro Águilas Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Fe (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Rionegro Águilas (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Fe (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Rionegro Águilas (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mosquera A. (G) 19. Bustos N. 32. Mafla C. 22. Mosquera E. 18. Olivera E. 13. Palacios H. 14. Palacios L. 15. Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 7. Torres J. 6. Toscano Bassa K. D. 10. Zapata A.	1. Arboleda I. (G) 15. Charales F. 5. Hernandez D. 29. Lopes H. 26. Lozano D. 19. Lozano F. (C) 32. Mena J. 99. Obregon J. 8. Ricaurte A. 25. Roa J. 10. Uruena B.
Substitutes
12. Asprilla W. (G) 9. Fagundez F. 8. Fernandez O. 37. Jhon Renteria 3. Moreno V. 40. Palacios M. 27. Perlaza Perea Y. A. 11. Rodallega H. 16. Torres D.	18. Alvarez A. 90. Benitez Hernandez R. A. 30. Lara Vasquez N. 16. Pineda J. 9. Rivaldo J. 17. Rojas C. 12. Salazar A. (G)
Coaches
Repetto P.	Nino J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Charales F. ⚽, Ricaurte A. (A),
38', Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ricaurte A. ↓, Pineda J. ↑,
46', Scarpeta Silgado I. R. ↓, Moreno V. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Mafla C. ⚽,
54', Charales F. ↓, Benitez Hernandez R. A. ↑,
64', Zapata A. ↓, Fagundez F. ↑,
65', Bustos N. ↓, Rodallega H. ↑,
65', Uruena B. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
74', Obregon J. ↓, Rivaldo J. ↑,
77', Palacios L. ↓, Perlaza Perea Y. A. ↑,
78', Mosquera E. ↓, Fernandez O. ↑,
80', Pineda J. 🟨,
80', Moreno V. 🟨,
80', Fagundez F. 🟨,
85', Arboleda I. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 0.

Santa Fe has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Santa Fe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Santa Fe is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.9:1.1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Santa Fe	15	8	4	3	23:15	8	28
8	Aguilas	16	5	7	4	21:20	1	22

Outrights of Colombian Primera A for now

Santa Fe: 10.28%

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente Santa Fe - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 51.88%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Super Cup
15.01.26	Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
08.12.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:0 ✺
03.12.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Santa Fe	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Deportes Tolima - Independiente Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
25.11.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Deportes Tolima	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTWLL
- Rionegro Águilas
Colombian Primera A
13.11.25	Rionegro Águilas - Deportes Tolima	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Atlético Nacional - Rionegro Águilas	2:1 ✺
28.10.25	Rionegro Águilas - Envigado	1:0 ✺
24.10.25	Deportivo Pereira - Rionegro Águilas	1:5 ✺
18.10.25	Rionegro Águilas - Alianza Valledupar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
22.07.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Rionegro Águilas	0:0
07.02.25	Rionegro Águilas - Independiente Santa Fe	0:0
06.10.24	Independiente Santa Fe - Rionegro Águilas	0:0
24.03.24	Rionegro Águilas - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1
07.10.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Rionegro Águilas	0:5
26.04.23	Rionegro Águilas - Independiente Santa Fe	3:1
Copa Sudamericana
08.03.23	Rionegro Águilas - Independiente Santa Fe	1:2

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