The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Indy Eleven 56%
Draw 23.6%
Las Vegas Lights 20.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.3%
26.3%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.8%
26%
28.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Indy Eleven's performance.
Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Las Vegas Lights might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Indy Eleven that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Las Vegas Lights could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Indy Eleven - Las Vegas Lights Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Las Vegas (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Las Vegas (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Sulte H. (G) 27. Rendon B. 30. Ofeimu B. 3. Hogan P. 41. Musa J. 4. McRobb F. 8. Blake J. 6. Lindley C. 5. Murphy J. 14. Quinn A. 22. Amoh E.
56. Arozarena R. (G) 23. Boudadi Y. 5. Gartig E. 3. Jones N. 20. Smart S. 17. Leal P. 42. Peeters D. 33. Nigro G. 11. Pinzon C. 27. Noel V. (C) 14. Rodriguez J.
Substitutes
23. Charles-Cook R. (G) 18. Collier E. 99. Foster M. 19. Kizza E. 2. O'Brien J. 32. Soumaoro B. 33. White H.
41. Covil V. 7. Gyau J. 24. Howell M. 96. Miller C. (G) 6. Pearson C. 9. Pickering N. 19. Stojanovic S.
Coaches
McAuley S.
Nocerino A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Nigro G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', Rendon B. ↓, White H. ↑,
67', Quinn A. ↓, Collier E. ↑,
67', Blake J. ↓, Foster M. ↑,
67', Peeters D. ↓, Pearson C. ↑,
68', Amoh E. ↓, Kizza E. ↑,
75', Leal P. ↓, Stojanovic S. ↑,
75', Jones N. ↓, Howell M. ↑,
75', Smart S. ↓, Gyau J. ↑,
80', Hogan P. ↓, O'Brien J. ↑,
85', Rodriguez J. ↓, Pickering N. ↑,
90', 0 - 1, Pickering N. ⚽, Stojanovic S. (A),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
Indy is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Las Vegas has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Indy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Indy is the team to beat.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Indy won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Indy won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
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Sulte H. (G) 
Rendon B. 
Musa J. 
McRobb F. 
Amoh E. 
Boudadi Y. 
Gartig E. 
Peeters D. 
Pinzon C. 
Noel V. (C) 
Charles-Cook R. (G) 
Foster M. 
Kizza E. 
O'Brien J. 
Soumaoro B. 
White H. 
Nocerino A. 
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