Match Info

Date: 10 August 2020, Monday


	Inter Milan		Bayer Leverkusen

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	3.6
	2.1	3.5	3.5
	2.12	3.55	3.5
	2.07	3.55	3.25
	2.12	3.59	3.47
	2.05	3.5	3.5
	2.13	3.75	3.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.07)	3.56 ↓ (3.6)	3.51 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Milan
45.8%

Draw
26.9%

Bayer Leverkusen
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

26.5%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

20.5%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inter Milan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bayer Leverkusen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.7%	4.9%	4.4%

Inter Milan - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

Users Predictions: Inter Milan will win (205 of 226 users predict this - 90.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.93% – 94.49%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Neutral location - Merkur Spiel-Arena. No spectators.

Inter was already of round of 32, was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a good chance of semis (53%), has a chance of final (34%), has a chance of win league (16%).

Bayer was already of round of 32, was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a chance of semis (47%), has a chance of final (29%), has a small chance of win league (13%).

Inter in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Bayer is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Inter could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Bayer have a series of home games.

Inter will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Milan
UEFA Europa League
05.08.20	Inter Milan - Getafe	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
01.08.20	Atalanta - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
28.07.20	Inter Milan - Napoli	2:0 ✺
25.07.20	Genoa - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
22.07.20	Inter Milan - Fiorentina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWT
- Bayer Leverkusen
UEFA Europa League
06.08.20	Bayer Leverkusen - Glasgow Rangers	1:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
04.07.20	Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich	2:4 ✺
German Bundesliga
27.06.20	Bayer Leverkusen - Mainz	1:0 ✺
20.06.20	Hertha Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen	2:0 ✺
17.06.20	Bayer Leverkusen - Köln	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWLW

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