Match Info

SCOTLAND: SCOTTISH CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Tulloch Caledonian Stadium (Inverness)

Referee: Steven C. (Sco)


	Inverness		Hibernian

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.6	1.73
	4.1	3.6	1.7
	4.5	3.75	1.72
	3.91	3.65	1.7
	4.47	3.96	1.7
	3.3	3.6	1.91
	4.4	3.9	1.72
	4.3	3.7	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↑ (3.65)	3.72 ↑ (3.46)	1.74 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inverness
21.9%

Draw
24.9%

Hibernian
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

27%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

26%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inverness has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Hibernian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hibernian's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hibernian, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Inverness - Hibernian Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ridgers M. (G) 3. Harper C. 5. Chilokoa-Mullen J. 4. Kerr C. 22. Shaw N. 7. Gilmour C. 15. Anderson M. 8. McAllister S. 34. Savage R. 9. McKay B. (C) 30. Carragher J.	1. Marshall D. (G) 2. Miller L. 5. Fish W. 23. Triantis N. 21. Obita J. 10. Boyle M. 30. Moriah-Welsh N. 11. Newell J. (C) 15. Amos L. 17. Maolida M. 14. Mayenda E.
Substitutes
20. Boyes M. 24. Brooks A. 10. Doran A. 12. MacGregor R. 21. Mackay C. (G) 14. Pepple A. 11. Samuels A. 44. Ujdur N.	12. Cadden Ch. 4. Hanlon P. 19. Le Fondre A. 6. Levitt D. 20. Marcondes E. 16. Stevenson L. 9. Vente D. 13. Wollacott J. (G) 7. Youan T.
Coaches
Ferguson D.	Montgomery N.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Inverness won 1.

Recent matches Inverness is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hibernian is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Inverness could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hibernian will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Inverness won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Inverness won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inverness CT
Scottish Football Championship
03.02.24	Inverness - Queens Park	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Raith Rovers - Inverness	2:3 ✺
Scottish Cup
20.01.24	Inverness - Broomhill	4:0 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
12.01.24	Inverness - Dundee United	0:1 ✺
06.01.24	Ayr United - Inverness	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWWLW
- Hibernian FC
Scottish Premier League
07.02.24	Hibernian - Celtic	1:2 ✺
03.02.24	Hibernian - St. Mirren	0:3 ✺
27.01.24	Kilmarnock - Hibernian	2:2 ✺
24.01.24	Hibernian - Glasgow Rangers	0:3 ✺
Scottish Cup
20.01.24	Forfar Athletic - Hibernian	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Cup
28.02.20	Hibernian - Inverness	5:2
16.03.16	Inverness - Hibernian	1:2
06.03.16	Hibernian - Inverness	1:1
Scottish Premier League
12.03.14	Inverness - Hibernian	0:0
09.11.13	Hibernian - Inverness	0:2
28.09.13	Inverness - Hibernian	3:0
30.03.13	Hibernian - Inverness	1:2

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