Match Info

Championship - Round 46

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Portman Road (Ipswich) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ward G. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport Maximo 360
Argentina	08:30	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Australia	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	13:30	Arena Sport 4P
Brazil	08:30	Xsports
Bulgaria	14:30	Diema Sport 2
Denmark	13:30	Viaplay
Finland	14:30	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Iceland	11:30	Viaplay
India	17:00	FanCode, FanCode
Mexico	05:30	Disney+
New Zealand	23:30	beIN Connect
Nigeria	12:30	SuperSport Football Plus
North Central America	—	ESPN Caribbean
Norway	13:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	06:30	Disney+
South Africa	13:30	SuperSport Football
Sweden	13:30	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Turkey	14:30	Exxen
United Kingdom	12:30	Sky Sports+
Uruguay	08:30	Disney+
Usa	07:30	Paramount+
Venezuela	07:30	Disney+


	Ipswich Town		Queens Park Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.22	6.5	9	Watch
	1.33	5.5	8.25
	1.27	5.88	10.67	Watch
	1.27	6.39	10.85
	1.27	5.88	10.75	Watch
	1.25	5.5	9.5
	1.25	5.9	10.5	Watch
	1.46	4.5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.46)	5.76 ↑ (4.5)	9.57 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ipswich Town
73.6%

Draw
16.5%

Queens Park Rangers
9.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.2%

21.2%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

20.7%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ipswich Town's performance.

Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ipswich Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Ipswich Town - Queens Park Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: Ipswich Town will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Walton C. (G) 19. Furlong D. 26. O'Shea D. (C) 24. Greaves J. 3. Davis L. 5. Matusiwa A. 14. Taylor J. 7. Burns W. 32. Nunez M. 11. Philogene J. 9. Hirst G.	13. Walsh J. (G) 27. Mbengue A. S. 37. Edwards R. (C) 6. Clarke-Salter J. 18. Norrington-Davies R. 24. Madsen N. 40. Varane J. 21. Morgan K. 10. Chair I. 23. Bennie D. 20. Vale H.
Substitutes
29. Akpom Ch. 31. Azon I. 47. Clarke J. 18. Johnson B. 4. Kipre C. 20. McAteer K. 33. Mehmeti A. 6. Neil D. 1. Palmer A. (G)	2. Adamson K. 48. Alemayehu Mulugeta I. 28. Esquerdinha 15. Hayden I. 14. Saito K. 32. Salamon M. (G) 52. Scarlett L. 30. Smith T. 11. Smyth P.
Coaches
McKenna K.	Stephan J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Hirst G. ⚽,
9', 2 - 0, Philogene J. ⚽, Hirst G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Madsen N. ↓, Smyth P. ↑,
46', Clarke-Salter J. ↓, Smith T. ↑,
46', Furlong D. 🟨,
62', Philogene J. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
62', Burns W. ↓, McAteer K. ↑,
63', Chair I. ↓, Saito K. ↑,
70', Hirst G. ↓, Azon I. ↑,
71', Nunez M. ↓, Mehmeti A. ↑,
76', Davis L. 🟨,
79', Smyth P. 🟨,
80', Morgan K. ↓, Alemayehu Mulugeta I. ↑,
85', Bennie D. ↓, Scarlett L. ↑,
85', 3 - 0, McAteer K. ⚽,
86', Taylor J. ↓, Neil D. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 2.

Recent performances by Ipswich have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

QPR's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

QPR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ipswich has had a series of away games.

In this match, Ipswich is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Ipswich: Button D. (Calf Injury) Townsend C. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in QPR: Dembele K. (Knee Injury) Larkeche Z. (Knee Injury) Poku K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Ipswich: Young A. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in QPR: Dunne J. (Inactive)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ipswich won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	QPR	12	5	5	2	20:12	8	20

Outrights of English League Championship for now

QPR: 3.46%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipswich Town
English League Championship
28.04.26	Southampton - Ipswich Town	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	West Bromwich Albion - Ipswich Town	0:0 ✺
22.04.26	Charlton Athletic - Ipswich Town	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Ipswich Town - Middlesbrough	2:2 ✺
14.04.26	Portsmouth - Ipswich Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TTWTL
- Queens Park Rangers
English League Championship
25.04.26	Queens Park Rangers - Derby County	2:3 ✺
21.04.26	Queens Park Rangers - Swansea City	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Millwall - Queens Park Rangers	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Queens Park Rangers - Bristol City	0:0 ✺
06.04.26	Preston North End - Queens Park Rangers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
01.11.25	Queens Park Rangers - Ipswich Town	1:4
29.12.23	Ipswich Town - Queens Park Rangers	0:0
19.08.23	Queens Park Rangers - Ipswich Town	0:1
26.12.18	Queens Park Rangers - Ipswich Town	3:0
20.10.18	Ipswich Town - Queens Park Rangers	0:2
26.12.17	Ipswich Town - Queens Park Rangers	0:0
09.09.17	Queens Park Rangers - Ipswich Town	2:1

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