Match Info

Championship - Round 43

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Portman Road (Ipswich)

Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Ipswich Town		Middlesbrough

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.32	3.54	2.95	Watch
	2.35	3.58	3.13
	2.29	3.52	3.02	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3.1
	2.24	3.5	3.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2)	3.47 ↓ (3.6)	3.11 ↓ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ipswich Town
42%

Draw
27.4%

Middlesbrough
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

25.8%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

24.4%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ipswich Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ipswich Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.2%	19.4%	6.5%

Ipswich Town - Middlesbrough Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Ipswich will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 2 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ipswich: 57.5% – 89.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Middlesbrough (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ipswich Town will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Ipswich (votes: 3 - 60%). Middlesbrough (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Walton C. (G) 19. Furlong D. 26. O'Shea D. (C) 24. Greaves J. 3. Davis L. 5. Matusiwa A. 14. Taylor J. 20. McAteer K. 32. Nunez M. 11. Philogene J. 31. Azon I.	31. Brynn S. (G) 12. Ayling L. 6. Fry D. (C) 29. Malanda A. 2. Brittain C. 16. Browne A. 18. Morris A. 14. Gilbert A. 3. Targett M. 13. Strelec D. 9. Conway T.
Substitutes
29. Akpom Ch. 47. Clarke J. 8. Egeli S. W. 9. Hirst G. 18. Johnson B. 4. Kipre C. 33. Mehmeti A. 6. Neil D. 1. Palmer A. (G)	24. Bangura A. 25. Edmundson G. 27. Hansen S. 44. Ibeh C. 45. Sarmiento J. 20. Sene M. K. 22. Silvera S. 11. Whittaker M. 32. Wildsmith J. (G)
Coaches
McKenna K.	Hellberg K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Strelec D. ⚽, Browne A. (A),
30', 1 - 1, McAteer K. ⚽, Azon I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Targett M. 🟨,
60', Gilbert A. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Conway T. ⚽,
64', Nunez M. ↓, Mehmeti A. ↑,
65', Philogene J. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
72', McAteer K. ↓, Egeli S. W. ↑,
81', Azon I. ↓, Hirst G. ↑,
81', Strelec D. ↓, Silvera S. ↑,
82', Matusiwa A. ↓, Neil D. ↑,
86', Malanda A. 🟨,
86', 2 - 2, Clarke J. (Penalty Awarded),
90', Conway T. ↓, Whittaker M. ↑,
90+1', Neil D. 🟨,
90+3', Furlong D. 🟨,
90+4', Brittain C. 🟨,
90+8', Sarmiento J. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 1.

Ipswich is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Middlesbrough is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Middlesbrough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Ipswich: Burns W. (Calf Injury) Button D. (Calf Injury) Townsend C. (Knee Injury) Young A. (Hip Injury)

There will not play in Middlesbrough: Bangura A. (Injury) Castledine L. (Inactive) Hackney H. (Calf Injury) Jones A. (Ankle Injury) Lenihan D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Whittaker M. (Inactive)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ipswich won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Middlesbrough: 12.08%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Middlesbrough	9	5	3	1	17:12	5	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipswich Town
English League Championship
14.04.26	Portsmouth - Ipswich Town	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Norwich City - Ipswich Town	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Ipswich Town - Birmingham City	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Ipswich Town - Millwall	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Sheffield Wednesday - Ipswich Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWTW
- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
11.04.26	Middlesbrough - Portsmouth	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Swansea City - Middlesbrough	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Middlesbrough - Millwall	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Blackburn Rovers - Middlesbrough	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Middlesbrough - Bristol City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
17.10.25	Middlesbrough - Ipswich Town	2:1
13.04.24	Ipswich Town - Middlesbrough	1:1
09.12.23	Middlesbrough - Ipswich Town	0:2
29.12.18	Middlesbrough - Ipswich Town	2:0
02.10.18	Ipswich Town - Middlesbrough	0:2
06.05.18	Ipswich Town - Middlesbrough	2:2
09.12.17	Middlesbrough - Ipswich Town	2:0

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