Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 37

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Portman Road (Ipswich)

Referee: Yates O. (Eng)


	Ipswich Town		Shrewsbury Town

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	11
	1.31	4.8	10.5
	1.35	4.85	9.5
	1.38	4.5	7.6
	1.31	5.2	12.07
	1.33	4.5	10
	1.33	4.9	9.8	Watch
	1.34	4.7	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.35)	4.78 ↑ (4.63)	9.96 ↑ (7.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ipswich Town
70.7%

Draw
19.8%

Shrewsbury Town
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

19.9%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5%

18.7%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Ipswich Town - Shrewsbury Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ipswich will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Shrewsbury will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ipswich: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs) and 9).

Ipswich has the most likely position - 3 (34.42%), project points - 91, currently - 72, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (66%), a good chance of promoted (54%), a very small chance of win league (5%).

Shrewsbury has the most likely position - 10 (35.26%), project points - 67, currently - 55, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 33, importance 35, match rating 34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ipswich won 3.

Ipswich in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Shrewsbury is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Ipswich is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ipswich to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Ipswich won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Ipswich won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipswich Town
English League One
11.03.23	Bolton Wanderers - Ipswich Town	0:2 ✺
07.03.23	Ipswich Town - Accrington Stanley	3:0 ✺
04.03.23	Ipswich Town - Burton Albion	4:0 ✺
25.02.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Ipswich Town	0:1 ✺
18.02.23	Ipswich Town - Forest Green Rovers	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWW
- Shrewsbury Town
English League One
11.03.23	Shrewsbury Town - Morecambe	3:1 ✺
07.03.23	Peterborough United - Shrewsbury Town	2:1 ✺
04.03.23	Derby County - Shrewsbury Town	2:2 ✺
25.02.23	Shrewsbury Town - Wycombe Wanderers	2:0 ✺
18.02.23	Accrington Stanley - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
20.08.22	Shrewsbury Town - Ipswich Town	0:3
09.04.22	Shrewsbury Town - Ipswich Town	1:1
09.10.21	Ipswich Town - Shrewsbury Town	2:1
04.05.21	Shrewsbury Town - Ipswich Town	0:0
21.11.20	Ipswich Town - Shrewsbury Town	2:1
31.08.19	Ipswich Town - Shrewsbury Town	3:0

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