The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jong AZ Alkmaar 49.5%
Draw 21.6%
Den Bosch 28.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.1%
20.7%
29.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.2%
19.9%
27.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Den Bosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (-1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
20%
0%
Jong AZ Alkmaar - Den Bosch Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Jong AZ will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 10th and 16th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 1.
Jong AZ is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Den Bosch is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Jong AZ could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Jong AZ holding a narrow advantage.
Doubtful / questionable for Den Bosch: Akmum R.
(Injury).
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Jong AZ has recorded 5 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:33 (averaging 1.3:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Jong AZ against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 7 draws, and 0 losses, with 13:10 goals (averaging 1.4:1.1 per game).
Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now
Den Bosch: 0.51%
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Jong AZ
9
4
1
4
22:17
5
13
16
Den Bosch
9
2
2
5
13:18
-5
8
Last Results with these Odds
Den Bosch - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 29.14%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.