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Current Win Probability
Jong Ajax 33.6%
Draw 22.3%
VVV-Venlo 44.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33%
23.3%
43.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.6%
23%
44.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
VVV-Venlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Jong Ajax - VVV Venlo Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Venlo will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2
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Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 17th and 3rd in the Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 1.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Jong Ajax could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Jong Ajax: Bouwman A.
(Knock)
Faberski J.
(Knee Injury).
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Jong Ajax has recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:28 (averaging 1.8:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Jong Ajax against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 22:14 goals (averaging 2.4:1.6 per game).
Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now
Venlo: 6.31% Jong Ajax: 0.32%
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Venlo
9
6
0
3
23:14
9
18
17
Jong Ajax
9
2
2
5
13:22
-9
8
Last Results with these Odds
Jong Ajax - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 33.04%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.