Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 17

Date: 15 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Alfredo Jaconi (Caxias do Sul)

Referee: Lima Barbosa M. (Bra)


	Juventude		ABC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.5	5.75
	1.62	3.3	5.8	Watch
	1.62	3.67	6.77
	1.55	3.4	5.5
	1.6	3.7	6.15	Watch
	1.59	3.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.53)	3.51 ↓ (3.75)	6 ↑ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventude
58.2%

Draw
26.4%

ABC
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

24.4%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

23.8%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ABC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

The ML Model estimate for ABC aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Juventude - ABC Predictions

Users Predictions: Juventude will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thiago Couto (G) 22. Daniel Bolt 4. Danilo Boza 53. Romercio 28. Alan Ruschel 16. Jadson 36. Vini Paulista 77. Nene (C) 32. Victor Andrade 19. Fabio Gomes 9. Rodrigo Rodrigues	1. Simao (G) 14. Gedeilson 15. Afonso 33. Genilson 16. Romario 88. Wallace 8. Jean Patrick 7. Matheus Anjos 10. Thonny Anderson 26. Fabio Costa 27. Junior Todinho
Substitutes
39. Daniel Cruz 31. Geuvanio 5. Jean 95. Kady 21. Kelvyn 99. Lucas Wingert (G) 23. Luiz Gustavo 14. Robertinho 29. Ruan 34. Tite 3. Ze Marcos	97. Evandro 30. Jean Martim 75. Maycon Douglas 9. Paulo Sergio 20. Ramon 17. Richardson 11. Wallyson 90. Wellington (G) 64. Welliton
Coaches
Carpini T.	Aal A.

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Juventude is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Juventude won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Juventude won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie B
08.07.23	Ituano - Juventude	1:1 ✺
02.07.23	Juventude - Vitória Salvador	1:0 ✺
28.06.23	Londrina - Juventude	1:2 ✺
22.06.23	Sport Recife - Juventude	3:0 ✺
11.06.23	Juventude - Tombense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWWLL
- ABC FC
Brazilian Serie B
08.07.23	ABC - Criciúma	0:1 ✺
01.07.23	Avaí - ABC	0:2 ✺
28.06.23	ABC - Atlético Goianiense	1:1 ✺
25.06.23	Mirassol - ABC	3:2 ✺
09.06.23	ABC - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
26.09.17	ABC - Juventude	1:1
13.06.17	Juventude - ABC	3:0

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