Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 17

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
Albania	20:30	Tring Sport 2
Angola	20:30	Z Sports 1, Z Sports 2
Argentina	16:30	Disney+
Armenia	23:30	Setanta Sports 2
Australia	06:30	beIN Connect
Austria	20:30	RTL, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Azerbaijan	23:30	Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	20:30	Play Sports 1
Brazil	16:30	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	21:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	14:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	16:30	Disney+
China	03:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	14:30	Disney+
Croatia	20:30	SportKlub 3
Czech Republic	20:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	20:30	See, Viaplay
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	21:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free
Georgia	23:30	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	20:30	DAZN Deutsch, RTL, RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, WOW
Greece	21:30	Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	03:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	20:30	Arena 4
Iceland	19:30	Viaplay
India	01:00	Vision+
Indonesia	02:30	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI
Israel	21:30	Sport 4
Italy	20:30	Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Max
Japan	04:30	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	01:30	Setanta Sports 2
Kyrgyzstan	01:30	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	02:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:30	beIN Connect
Malta	20:30	TSN Malta 8
Mexico	13:30	Sky Sport
Moldova	21:30	Setanta Sports 2
Mongolia	03:30	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	20:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	08:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	20:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	20:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	00:30	Tapmad
Peru	14:30	Disney+
Philippines	03:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	20:30	CANAL+ Poland, Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	19:30	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	21:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	22:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	22:30	MBC Shahid, Shahid
Serbia	20:30	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	03:30	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	20:30	Voyo
Slovenia	20:30	Sport TV1
South Korea	04:30	Coupang Play
Spain	20:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:30	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	20:30	RTL, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	00:30	Setanta Sports 2
Tanzania	22:30	ZBC 2 Tanzania
Thailand	02:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, PPTV Sports
Turkey	22:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Turkmenistan	00:30	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	21:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	19:30	Sky Go, Sky Sports+
Uruguay	16:30	Disney+
Usa	14:30	ESPN App, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Uzbekistan	00:30	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	15:30	Disney+
Vietnam	02:30	TV 360
International	19:30	Onefootball


	Köln		Bayern Munich

	1	X	2
	11	7	1.2	Watch
	7.5	6.25	1.32
	9.8	6.9	1.25	Watch
	11.3	7.47	1.24	Watch
	9.5	6.5	1.22
	12.2	7.75	1.22	Watch
	9	6.66	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.04 ↑ (8.16)	6.93 ↑ (6.24)	1.24 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln
9.5%

Draw
13.8%

Bayern Munich
76.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

11.6%

15.2%

73.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.5%

15.1%

73.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.9%	10.7%	71.4%

Köln - Bayern Munich Predictions

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 10 - 18.2%). Bayern will win (votes: 39 - 70.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 10.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 58.9% – 82.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Köln (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Bayern (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Bayern (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2 - Köln (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Köln (votes: 4 - 25%). Bayern (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 0.

Köln has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bayern is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bayern may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bayern is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Köln: Hubers T. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Martel E. (Yellow Cards) Schmied J. (Thigh Injury) van den Berg R. (Red Card)

There will not play in Bayern: Boey S. (Illness) Davies A. (Illness) Jackson N. (International duty) Kimmich J. (Ankle Injury) Musiala J. (Broken calfbone) Stanisic J. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Köln: Waldschmidt L. (Illness)

There are questionable in Bayern: Kim Min-Jae (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Köln won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 14:53. (average 0.7:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Köln won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 8:28. (average 0.7:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bayern Munich	6	4	2	0	22:5	17	14
11	FC Koln	7	2	2	3	8:11	-3	8

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Bayern Munich: 81.23%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Köln
German Bundesliga
10.01.26	Heidenheim - Köln	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.26	Lugano - Köln	1:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
20.12.25	Köln - Union Berlin	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Köln	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Köln - St. Pauli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWLLT
- Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga
11.01.26	Bayern Munich - Wolfsburg	8:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Bayern Munich	0:5 ✺
German Bundesliga
21.12.25	Heidenheim - Bayern Munich	0:4 ✺
14.12.25	Bayern Munich - Mainz	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.12.25	Bayern Munich - Sporting Lisbon	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Köln - Bayern Munich	1:4
German Bundesliga
13.04.24	Bayern Munich - Köln	2:0
24.11.23	Köln - Bayern Munich	0:1
27.05.23	Köln - Bayern Munich	1:2
24.01.23	Bayern Munich - Köln	1:1
15.01.22	Köln - Bayern Munich	0:4
22.08.21	Bayern Munich - Köln	3:2

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