Match Info

ASIA: AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 2

Date: 3 October 2023, Tuesday

Location: Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium (Kawasaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Finland	CMore Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Sport 1


	Kawasaki Frontale		Ulsan HD

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.6	3.3	Watch
	2.05	3.6	3.3	Watch
	2.09	3.6	3.47
	2.1	3.5	3
	2.1	3.64	3.22	Watch
	2.12	3.55	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.1)	3.58 ↓ (3.6)	3.22 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kawasaki Frontale
44.9%

Draw
26.1%

Ulsan HD
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

25.8%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

25.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Ulsan HD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Kawasaki Frontale aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	35.3%	29.4%

Kawasaki Frontale - Ulsan HD Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Kawasaki will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Ulsan will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 12.6% – 58%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jung Sung-Ryong (G) 13. Yamane M. 3. Ominami T. 31. Yamamura K. 2. Noborizato K. 14. Wakizaka Y. 8. Tachibanada K. (C) 16. Seko T. 30. Segawa Y. 9. Leandro Damiao 23. Marcinho	21. Jo Hyeon-Woo (G) 23. Kim Tae-Hwan 44. Kim Kee-Hee (C) 19. Kim Young-Gwon 26. Cho Hyun-Taek 22. Kim Min-Hyuk 24. Lee Gyu-Seong 14. Lee Dong-Gyeong 31. Esaka A. 96. Kim Ji-Hyun 10. Qazaishvili V.
Substitutes
18. Gomis B. 22. Hayasaka Y. (G) 99. Kamifukumoto N. (G) 11. Kobayashi Y. 33. Miyashiro T. 24. Myogan T. 28. Ozeki Y. 6. Schmidt J. 29. Takai K. 15. Tanabe S. 17. Tono D. 20. Yamada S.	9. Adam M. 8. Bojanic D. 3. Jang S. 18. Joo Min-Kyu 1. Jo Su-Huk (G) 15. Jung Seung-Hyun 30. Kang Yung-Gu 16. Kim Sung-Joon 27. Lee Chung-Yong 13. Lee Myung-Jae 5. Lim Jong-Eun 17. Ludwigson G.
Coaches
Oniki T.	Hong Myung-Bo

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kawasaki won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ulsan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kawasaki will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Kawasaki won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Kawasaki won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J1 League
29.09.23	Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata	2:3 ✺
24.09.23	Shonan Bellmare - Kawasaki Frontale	0:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
19.09.23	Johor Darul Takzim - Kawasaki Frontale	0:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
15.09.23	Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo	1:0 ✺
02.09.23	Cerezo Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWWL
- Ulsan HD
South Korean K-League 1
30.09.23	Pohang Steelers - Ulsan HD	0:0 ✺
24.09.23	Suwon - Ulsan HD	2:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
19.09.23	Ulsan HD - Pathum United	3:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
16.09.23	Ulsan HD - Daejeon Citizen	1:1 ✺
03.09.23	Ulsan HD - Gwangju	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
27.04.22	Ulsan HD - Kawasaki Frontale	3:2
15.04.22	Kawasaki Frontale - Ulsan HD	1:1
14.09.21	Ulsan HD - Kawasaki Frontale	1:0 penalties
23.04.19	Kawasaki Frontale - Ulsan HD	2:2
10.04.19	Ulsan HD - Kawasaki Frontale	1:0
18.04.18	Kawasaki Frontale - Ulsan HD	2:2
20.02.18	Ulsan HD - Kawasaki Frontale	2:1

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