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Current Win Probability
Yelimay Semey 57.1%
Draw 23.8%
Ulytau 19.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.6%
27.9%
21.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.2%
27%
20.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yelimay Semey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yelimay Semey's performance.
Ulytau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yelimay Semey than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulytau than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Yelimay Semey - Ulytau Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Konovalov I. (G) 26. Tanasijevic S. 15. Mittendorfer M. 4. Zhumakhanov A. 20. Ashirbek A. 18. Orazov R. (C) 44. Tulubay A. 89. China 17. Bakhtiyarov A. 19. Zhaksylykov A. 9. Murillo R.
1. Nepogodov D. (G) 2. Carmona Sierra D. 4. Chalkin M. (C) 25. Bukhal G. 17. Daniyarov B. 8. Vachiberadze B. 90. Martin D. 18. Bougnone A. 45. Zulfikarov B. 14. Harada H. 13. Akhmedov A.
Substitutes
88. Baygaliev A. 5. Belancic M. 23. Ilic H. 7. Murtazaev R. 8. Omatay M. 14. Palacio D. 10. Payruz Z. 77. Placca F. 11. Sviridov I. 1. Tsuprikov E. (G)
22. Chernyak I. 7. Kishi K. 69. Maulenov D. 21. Nurali O. 6. Nursultanov K. 9. Serikkul R. 40. Shcherbakov S. (G) 11. Smith A. 10. Taubay A. 78. Zakirov T. (G)
Coaches
Karpovich A.
Mazbaev N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Tanasijevic S. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Murillo R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Harada H. ↓, Serikkul R. ↑,
49', 2 - 0, China ⚽, Murillo R. (A),
63', Bakhtiyarov A. ↓, Payruz Z. ↑,
63', China ↓, Ilic H. ↑,
63', Zhaksylykov A. ↓, Placca F. ↑,
73', Bougnone A. ↓, Taubay A. ↑,
74', Murillo R. ↓, Murtazaev R. ↑,
79', Carmona Sierra D. ↓, Maulenov D. ↑,
83', Tanasijevic S. 🟨,
89', Vachiberadze B. ↓, Smith A. ↑,
90+1', Orazov R. ↓, Belancic M. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Bukhal G. ⚽, Martin D. (A),
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 7)
Recent performances by Yelimay have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ulytau's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Ulytau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Yelimay is seen as the favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Yelimay won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Yelimay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.