Match Info

Premier League - Round 23

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Spartak (Semey)


	Yelimay Semey		Ulytau

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.35	3.9
	1.84	3.42	3.97	Watch
	1.8	3.3	3.75
	1.88	3.32	4.33
	1.8	3.3	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.82)	3.34 ↑ (3.31)	3.95 ↓ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yelimay Semey
49.7%

Draw
27.2%

Ulytau
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

27.9%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

27%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yelimay Semey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Ulytau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yelimay Semey than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulytau than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Yelimay Semey - Ulytau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 7)

Recent performances by Yelimay have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ulytau's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Ulytau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Yelimay is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Yelimay won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Yelimay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Yelimay Semey	25	10	8	7	35:33	2	38
9	Ulytau	26	8	8	10	24:32	-8	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yelimay Semey
Kazakh Premier League
16.08.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Yelimay Semey	2:2 ✺
09.08.26	Yelimay Semey - Ertis Pavlodar	3:1 ✺
02.08.26	Zhenis - Yelimay Semey	0:0 ✺
26.07.26	Yelimay Semey - Kaisar	1:1 ✺
19.07.26	Ordabasy - Yelimay Semey	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWTTL
- FC Ulytau
Kazakh Premier League
15.08.26	Kairat - Ulytau	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Ulytau	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Ulytau - Astana	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Ulytau - Ertis Pavlodar	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Zhenis - Ulytau	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
03.05.26	Ulytau - Yelimay Semey	1:0
12.07.25	Ulytau - Yelimay Semey	1:1
Kazakh Cup
12.04.25	Ulytau - Yelimay Semey	0:3
Kazakh Premier League
06.04.25	Yelimay Semey - Ulytau	3:0

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