Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 31

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne)

Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Bulgaria	Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN USA, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Köln		Bayer Leverkusen

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.75	1.8	Watch
	3.7	3.95	1.9
	3.77	4.03	1.99
	3.67	4.08	1.95	Watch
	3.6	3.8	1.85
	3.9	4.11	1.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↓ (3.93)	3.95 ↓ (4.15)	1.91 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Köln
25.9%

Draw
24.1%

Bayer Leverkusen
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

22.9%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

22.6%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13%	13%	73.9%

Köln - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 3 - 13%). Bayer will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 56% – 91.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Köln (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schwabe M. (C) 28. Sebulonsen S. 22. Simpson-Pusey J. 39. Ozkacar C. 37. Maina L. 18. Johannesson I. 6. Martel E. 32. Lund K. 16. Kaminski J. 30. Bulter M. 13. El Mala S.	28. Blaswich J. (G) 4. Quansah J. 8. Andrich R. (C) 12. Tapsoba E. 42. Culbreath M. 25. Palacios E. 24. Garcia A. 20. Grimaldo A. 30. Maza I. 23. Tella N. 14. Schick P.
Substitutes
17. Castro-Montes A. 27. Chavez F. 5. Krauss T. 38. Niang Y. 2. Schmied J. 29. Thielmann J. 33. van den Berg R. 7. Waldschmidt L. 20. Zieler R. (G)	13. Arthur 5. Bade L. 17. Ben Seghir E. 6. Fernandez E. 7. Hofmann J. 15. Oermann T. 18. Omlin J. (G) 19. Poku E. 10. Tillman M.
Coaches
Wagner R.	Hjulmand K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Tapsoba E. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Schick P. (Penalty Awarded),
45', Johannesson I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 0 - 2, Schick P. ⚽, Tella N. (A),
62', Maina L. ↓, Castro-Montes A. ↑,
62', Bulter M. ↓, Thielmann J. ↑,
62', Maza I. ↓, Tillman M. ↑,
72', Lund K. ↓, Chavez F. ↑,
72', Culbreath M. ↓, Arthur ↑,
72', Tella N. ↓, Ben Seghir E. ↑,
72', Garcia A. ↓, Fernandez E. ↑,
72', Johannesson I. ↓, Waldschmidt L. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Waldschmidt L. ⚽, El Mala S. (A),
85', Martel E. ↓, Niang Y. ↑,
86', Quansah J. ↓, Bade L. ↑,
90+5', Blaswich J. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Bayer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bayer could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Köln: Ache R. (Muscle Injury) Hubers T. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Bayer: Arthur (Ankle Injury) Kofane C. (Thigh Injury) Terrier M. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Köln won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:39. (average 1.1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Köln won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1:1.6).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Bayer Leverkusen: 3.01%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10:5	5	7
13	FC Koln	4	1	1	2	6:9	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Köln
German Bundesliga
17.04.26	St. Pauli - Köln	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Köln - Werder Bremen	3:1 ✺
05.04.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Köln	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Köln - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:3 ✺
14.03.26	Hamburger SV - Köln	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWTTT
- Bayer Leverkusen
German DFB Pokal
22.04.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich	0:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
18.04.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Augsburg	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Wolfsburg	6:3 ✺
21.03.26	Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
13.12.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Köln	2:0
German DFB Pokal
05.02.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Köln	3:2 ET
German Bundesliga
03.03.24	Köln - Bayer Leverkusen	0:2
08.10.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Köln	3:0
05.05.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Köln	1:2
09.11.22	Köln - Bayer Leverkusen	1:2
13.03.22	Bayer Leverkusen - Köln	0:1

Upcoming Matches