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Köln - Bayer Leverkusen

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Match Info

  • Bundesliga - Round 31
  • Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished
  • Location: RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne) 🌤️ ...
  • Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
    • CountryKick-OffTV Channels
    ArgentinaArgentina10:30Disney+
    AustraliaAustralia23:30beIN Connect
    AustriaAustria15:30Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
    BulgariaBulgaria16:30Play Diema Xtra
    CanadaCanada09:30DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
    ChileChile09:30Disney+
    ChinaChina21:30Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    ColombiaColombia08:30Disney+
    CroatiaCroatia15:30SportKlub 5
    Czech RepublicCzech Republic15:30Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
    DenmarkDenmark15:30Viaplay
    FinlandFinland16:30Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
    FranceFrance15:30beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
    GermanyGermany15:30DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
    GreeceGreece16:30Nova Sports 5
    Hong KongHong Kong21:30beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
    IcelandIceland13:30Viaplay
    IndiaIndia19:00Sony LIV, Vision+
    IndonesiaIndonesia20:30K-Vision
    JapanJapan22:30DAZN Japan
    LaosLaos20:30beIN Connect
    MalaysiaMalaysia21:30beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
    MexicoMexico07:30Izzi TV, Sky Sport
    MongoliaMongolia21:30Premier Sports 1
    NetherlandsNetherlands15:30Viaplay
    New ZealandNew Zealand01:30beIN Connect
    North Central AmericaNorth Central America—Sky Sports Norte
    North MacedoniaNorth Macedonia15:30MaxTV GO
    NorwayNorway15:30TV2 Play, Viaplay
    PakistanPakistan18:30Tapmad
    PeruPeru08:30Disney+
    PhilippinesPhilippines21:30beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
    PolandPoland15:30Eleven Sports 2
    PortugalPortugal14:30DAZN / App
    RomaniaRomania16:30Prima Sport PPV 1
    RussiaRussia16:30Okko Sport
    Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia16:30MBC Shahid
    SerbiaSerbia15:30Arena Sport 4
    SingaporeSingapore21:30beIN SPORTS MAX
    SlovakiaSlovakia15:30Nova Sport 6, Voyo
    SloveniaSlovenia15:30Sport TV3
    South KoreaSouth Korea22:30Coupang Play
    SpainSpain15:30DAZN Espana
    SwedenSweden15:30Viaplay
    SwitzerlandSwitzerland15:30Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
    ThailandThailand20:30beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
    TurkeyTurkey16:30S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
    UruguayUruguay10:30Disney+
    UsaUsa09:30ESPN App, ESPN USA, ESPN+
    VenezuelaVenezuela09:30Disney+
    VietnamVietnam20:30TV 360
    InternationalInternational13:30Onefootball
    Köln Bayer Leverkusen
    Köln Bayer Leverkusen
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.67 ↓
    (3.93)    		 3.95 ↓
    (4.15)    		 1.91 ↑
    (1.8)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

    • The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Köln
    25.9%    		Draw
    24.1%    		Bayer Leverkusen
    50%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    24.2% 22.9% 52.9%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    23.8% 22.5% 53.7%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    13% 13% 73.9%

    Köln - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 3 - 13%). Bayer will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 56% – 91.8%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Köln (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. GermanySchwabe M. (C)
    28. NorwaySebulonsen S.
    22. EnglandSimpson-Pusey J.
    39. TurkeyOzkacar C.
    37. GermanyMaina L.
    18. IcelandJohannesson I.
      6. GermanyMartel E.
    32. USALund K.
    16. PolandKaminski J.
    30. GermanyBulter M.
    13. GermanyEl Mala S.
    		28. GermanyBlaswich J. (G)
      4. EnglandQuansah J.
      8. GermanyAndrich R. (C)
    12. BurkinaTapsoba E.
    42. GermanyCulbreath M.
    25. ArgentinaPalacios E.
    24. SpainGarcia A.
    20. SpainGrimaldo A.
    30. AlgeriaMaza I.
    23. NigeriaTella N.
    14. CzechSchick P.
    Substitutes
    17. BelgiumCastro-Montes A.
    27. PeruChavez F.
      5. GermanyKrauss T.
    38. GermanyNiang Y.
      2. SwitzerlandSchmied J.
    29. GermanyThielmann J.
    33. Netherlandsvan den Berg R.
      7. GermanyWaldschmidt L.
    20. GermanyZieler R. (G)
    		13. BrazilArthur
      5. FranceBade L.
    17. MoroccoBen Seghir E.
      6. ArgentinaFernandez E.
      7. GermanyHofmann J.
    15. GermanyOermann T.
    18. SwitzerlandOmlin J. (G)
    19. NetherlandsPoku E.
    10. USATillman M.
    Coaches
         GermanyWagner R.
    		     DenmarkHjulmand K.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 1)
    • 10', Tapsoba E. 🟨,
    • 43', 0 - 1, Schick P. (Penalty Awarded),
    • 45', Johannesson I. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
    • 52', 0 - 2, Schick P. ⚽, Tella N. (A),
    • 62', Maina L. ↓, Castro-Montes A. ↑,
    • 62', Bulter M. ↓, Thielmann J. ↑,
    • 62', Maza I. ↓, Tillman M. ↑,
    • 72', Lund K. ↓, Chavez F. ↑,
    • 72', Culbreath M. ↓, Arthur ↑,
    • 72', Tella N. ↓, Ben Seghir E. ↑,
    • 72', Garcia A. ↓, Fernandez E. ↑,
    • 72', Johannesson I. ↓, Waldschmidt L. ↑,
    • 77', 1 - 2, Waldschmidt L. ⚽, El Mala S. (A),
    • 85', Martel E. ↓, Niang Y. ↑,
    • 86', Quansah J. ↓, Bade L. ↑,
    • 90+5', Blaswich J. 🟨,

    Preview

  • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 1.
  • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
  • Bayer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Bayer could have a small edge in this match.
  • There will not play in Köln: Ache R. (Muscle Injury) Hubers T. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury)
  • There will not play in Bayer: Arthur (Ankle Injury) Kofane C. (Thigh Injury) Terrier M. (Hamstring Injury)
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Köln won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:39. (average 1.1:2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Köln won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1:1.6).

    • Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    4Bayer Leverkusen741216:12413
    12FC Koln72238:11-38

    Outrights of German Bundesliga for now
    Bayer Leverkusen: 3.34%
    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - 1. FC Köln
    German Bundesliga
    17.04.26 St. Pauli - Köln 1:1 ✺
    12.04.26 Köln - Werder Bremen 3:1 ✺
    05.04.26 Eintracht Frankfurt - Köln 2:2 ✺
    21.03.26 Köln - Borussia Mönchengladbach 3:3 ✺
    14.03.26 Hamburger SV - Köln 1:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9
    TWTTT
    - Bayer Leverkusen
    German DFB Pokal
    22.04.26 Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich 0:2 ✺
    German Bundesliga
    18.04.26 Bayer Leverkusen - Augsburg 1:2 ✺
    11.04.26 Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen 0:1 ✺
    04.04.26 Bayer Leverkusen - Wolfsburg 6:3 ✺
    21.03.26 Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen 3:3 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7
    LLWWT
    Latest Head to Head
    German Bundesliga
    13.12.25 Bayer Leverkusen - Köln 2:0
    German DFB Pokal
    05.02.25 Bayer Leverkusen - Köln 3:2 ET
    German Bundesliga
    03.03.24 Köln - Bayer Leverkusen 0:2
    08.10.23 Bayer Leverkusen - Köln 3:0
    05.05.23 Bayer Leverkusen - Köln 1:2
    09.11.22 Köln - Bayer Leverkusen 1:2
    13.03.22 Bayer Leverkusen - Köln 0:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - 1. FC Köln
    German Bundesliga
    01.11.26 Union Berlin - Köln ✺
    - Bayer Leverkusen
    German Bundesliga
    31.10.26 Bayer Leverkusen - Stuttgart ✺

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