Match Info

Date: 12 August 2021, Thursday


	LDU Quito		Athletico Paranaense

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	4	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.75
	1.86	3.25	3.95	Watch
	1.91	3.15	4.2
	1.93	3.32	4.41
	1.88	3.2	4.2	Watch
	1.91	3.34	4.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.77)	3.27 ↓ (3.46)	4.11 ↓ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LDU Quito
48.8%

Draw
28.5%

Athletico Paranaense
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

26.8%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

21.6%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for LDU Quito, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Athletico Paranaense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

LDU Quito - Athletico Paranaense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

LDU Quito is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Athletico PR is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

LDU Quito could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently LDU Quito have a series of guest games.

In this match LDU Quito is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
07.08.21	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - LDU Quito	2:2 ✺
02.08.21	LDU Quito - Olmedo	4:0 ✺
25.07.21	9 de Octubre - LDU Quito	4:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.07.21	Grêmio - LDU Quito	1:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
16.07.21	Técnico Universitario - LDU Quito	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TWLWW
- Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie A
07.08.21	Athletico Paranaense - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
04.08.21	Atlético Goianiense - Athletico Paranaense	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
01.08.21	Atlético Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
28.07.21	Athletico Paranaense - Atlético Goianiense	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
25.07.21	Athletico Paranaense - Internacional RS	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTLWW

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