Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6

Date: 28 May 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado (Quito)

Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports


	LDU Quito		Universitario de Deportes

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.44	4.4	7
	1.42	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.43	4.4	8.44
	1.44	4.35	8.44
	1.36	4.33	7.5
	1.44	4.53	7.33	Watch
	1.41	4.3	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.43)	4.41 ↓ (4.45)	7.61 ↑ (7.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LDU Quito
66.3%

Draw
21.3%

Universitario de Deportes
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

21.1%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

20.2%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	13.6%	31.8%

LDU Quito - Universitario de Deportes Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for LDU Quito: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Dominguez A. (G) 3. Mina R. 4. Ade R. 33. Quinonez L. 14. Quinteros J. 18. Piovi L. (C) 88. Angulo M. 29. Ramirez Leon B. J. 9. Alzugaray L. 11. Estrada M. 19. Arce A.	1. Britos S. (G) 29. Corzo A. (C) 3. Riveros W. 5. Di Benedetto M. 24. Polo A. 17. Concha J. 23. Murrugarra J. 18. Urena R. 34. Portocarrero S. 20. Valera A. 19. Flores E.
Substitutes
10. Alvarado A. 35. Charcopa J. 28. Espinoza J. 8. Estupinan L. 21. Gonzalez Baquero S. 7. Jan Hurtado 12. Minda E. (G) 16. Parrales M. 6. Rodriguez F. 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 15. Villamil G. 24. Zanini A.	26. Ancajima H. 14. Bolivar J. 27. Cabanillas N. 10. Calcaterra H. 7. Celi Y. 35. Dorregaray D. 8. Gonzales C. 30. Guzman P. 33. Olivares C. 11. Rivera J. 21. Romero D. (G) 2. Saravia M.
Coaches
Hurtado E.	Bustos F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Arce A. ⚽,
45+2', Quinteros J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Corzo A. ↓, Saravia M. ↑,
56', Murrugarra J. ↓, Gonzales C. ↑,
56', Concha J. ↓, Calcaterra H. ↑,
60', Angulo M. ↓, Villamil G. ↑,
60', Valera A. ↓, Rivera J. ↑,
64', Gonzales C. 🟨,
67', 2 - 0, Alzugaray L. ⚽,
74', Flores E. ↓, Dorregaray D. ↑,
83', Gonzales C. 🟨,
87', Alzugaray L. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
87', Quinteros J. ↓, Estupinan L. ↑,
90+1', Mina R. ↓, Zanini A. ↑,
90+1', Estrada M. ↓, Parrales M. ↑,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

LDU Quito could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Universitario de Deportes have a series of home games.

In this match LDU Quito is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches LDU Quito won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
25.05.24	LDU Quito - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	2:1 ✺
22.05.24	Barcelona Guayaquil - LDU Quito	2:0 ✺
18.05.24	Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.05.24	LDU Quito - Junior Barranquilla	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
11.05.24	LDU Quito - Emelec	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLTLT
- Universitario de Deportes
Peruvian Liga 1
25.05.24	Universitario de Deportes - Los Chankas	4:0 ✺
20.05.24	Cienciano - Universitario de Deportes	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.05.24	Universitario de Deportes - Botafogo RJ	0:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
12.05.24	Universitario de Deportes - Sporting Cristal	4:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.05.24	Universitario de Deportes - Junior Barranquilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
02.04.24	Universitario de Deportes - LDU Quito	2:1

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