Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 21

Date: 24 January 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas)

Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Las Palmas		Osasuna

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.5	3.1	3
	2.55	3.2	3	Watch
	2.61	3.2	3.06
	2.58	3.09	3.08	Watch
	2.5	3	3
	2.61	3.19	3.14	Watch
	2.55	3.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.43)	3.14 ↓ (3.24)	3.05 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
37.8%

Draw
30.7%

Osasuna
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

29.5%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

30%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Osasuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.5%	54.1%	5.4%

Las Palmas - Osasuna Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 14 - 40%). Osasuna will win (votes: 2 - 5.7%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 54.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 37.8% – 70.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cillessen J. (G) 5. Javier Munoz 4. Alex Suarez 15. McKenna S. 3. Marmol M. 19. Ramirez S. 29. Essugo D. 20. Rodriguez K. (C) 10. Moleiro A. 37. Silva F. 14. Fuster M.	1. Herrera S. (G) 12. Areso J. 22. Boyomo F. 24. Catena A. 3. Cruz J. 7. Moncayola J. 18. Munoz I. 10. Oroz A. 14. Garcia R. 17. Budimir A. 11. Barja K. (C)
Substitutes
9. Cardona M. 28. Herzog J. 13. Horkas D. (G) 24. Januzaj A. 12. Loiodice E. 17. Mata J. 16. McBurnie O. 35. Mora I. (G) 23. Munoz A. 6. Pelmard A. 33. Viera Garcia S.	20. Arnaiz J. M. 23. Bretones A. 13. Fernandez A. (G) 9. Garcia R. 4. Garcia U. 5. Herrando J. 8. Ibanez P. 29. Osambela A. 15. Pena R. 32. Stamatakis D. (G) 6. Torro L.
Coaches
Martinez D.	Moreno V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Fuster M. 🟨,
19', Barja K. 🟨,
23', Areso J. 🟨,
24', Catena A. 🟨,
30', Essugo D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Oroz A. ⚽,
57', Fuster M. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
58', Barja K. ↓, Bretones A. ↑,
58', Moncayola J. 🟨,
69', Silva F. 🟨,
70', Moncayola J. ↓, Ibanez P. ↑,
70', Budimir A. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
72', Alex Suarez 🟨,
72', Essugo D. 🟨,
77', Boyomo F. 🟨,
81', Rodriguez K. ↓, Januzaj A. ↑,
81', Alex Suarez ↓, Pelmard A. ↑,
82', Garcia R. 🟨,
88', Pelmard A. 🟨,
90+1', Cruz J. ↓, Herrando J. ↑,
90+1', Areso J. ↓, Pena R. ↑,
90+1', Herrando J. 🟨,
90+2', Moleiro A. ↓, McBurnie O. ↑,
90+8', 1 - 1, Januzaj A. ⚽,
90+10', Januzaj A. 🟨,
90+12', Javier Munoz 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 14 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 1.

Las Palmas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Osasuna is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Las Palmas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Las Palmas: Marvin (Muscle Injury) Ramirez B. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Las Palmas: Campana J. (Muscle Injury) Viti (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Osasuna: Zaragoza B. (Foot Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:14 (average 1.9:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Las Palmas won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:6 (average 2.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga
19.01.25	Real Madrid - Las Palmas	4:1 ✺
12.01.25	Las Palmas - Getafe	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.01.25	Elche - Las Palmas	4:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
22.12.24	Las Palmas - Espanyol	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Real Sociedad - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLLWT
- Osasuna
Spanish LaLiga
19.01.25	Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.01.25	Athletic Bilbao - Osasuna	2:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
12.01.25	Atlético Madrid - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.01.25	Tenerife - Osasuna	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
21.12.24	Osasuna - Athletic Bilbao	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
21.09.24	Osasuna - Las Palmas	2:1
25.02.24	Las Palmas - Osasuna	1:1
11.11.23	Osasuna - Las Palmas	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
25.05.19	Osasuna - Las Palmas	2:0
12.01.19	Las Palmas - Osasuna	4:1
Spanish LaLiga
05.03.17	Las Palmas - Osasuna	5:2
01.10.16	Osasuna - Las Palmas	2:2

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