Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 21

Date: 24 January 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	07:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	21:00	DAZN
Belgium	21:00	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Moja TV
Brazil	17:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	15:00	TSN+
Chile	17:00	Disney+
China	04:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	21:00	beIN Connect
Georgia	00:00	Silk Sport 1
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	04:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 2
Hungary	21:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	01:30	GXR World
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports 3, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	22:00	ONE Sport
Italy	21:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	05:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Macao	04:00	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	14:00	Sky Sport
Montenegro	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Mozambique	22:00	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	09:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Pakistan	01:00	ARY ZAP
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Setanta Sports
Poland	21:00	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 2
Romania	22:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	23:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	04:00	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 3
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport La Liga
South Korea	05:00	Coupang Play
Spain	21:00	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV
Sweden	21:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
Taiwan	04:00	DAZN
Tajikistan	01:00	Varzish Sport
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	23:00	S Sport+
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Kingdom	20:00	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
International	20:00	Disney+, SportsMax App


	Las Palmas		Osasuna

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.5	3.1	3
	2.55	3.2	3	Watch
	2.61	3.2	3.06
	2.58	3.09	3.08	Watch
	2.5	3	3
	2.61	3.19	3.14	Watch
	2.55	3.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.43)	3.14 ↓ (3.24)	3.05 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
37.8%

Draw
30.7%

Osasuna
31.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.4%

29.5%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

30%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Osasuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.5%	54.1%	5.4%

Las Palmas - Osasuna Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 14 - 40%). Osasuna will win (votes: 2 - 5.7%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 54.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 37.8% – 70.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cillessen J. (G) 5. Javier Munoz 4. Alex Suarez 15. McKenna S. 3. Marmol M. 19. Ramirez S. 29. Essugo D. 20. Rodriguez K. (C) 10. Moleiro A. 37. Silva F. 14. Fuster M.	1. Herrera S. (G) 12. Areso J. 22. Boyomo F. 24. Catena A. 3. Cruz J. 7. Moncayola J. 18. Munoz I. 10. Oroz A. 14. Garcia R. 17. Budimir A. 11. Barja K. (C)
Substitutes
9. Cardona M. 28. Herzog J. 13. Horkas D. (G) 24. Januzaj A. 12. Loiodice E. 17. Mata J. 16. McBurnie O. 35. Mora I. (G) 23. Munoz A. 6. Pelmard A. 33. Viera Garcia S.	20. Arnaiz J. M. 23. Bretones A. 13. Fernandez A. (G) 9. Garcia R. 4. Garcia U. 5. Herrando J. 8. Ibanez P. 29. Osambela A. 15. Pena R. 32. Stamatakis D. (G) 6. Torro L.
Coaches
Martinez D.	Moreno V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Fuster M. 🟨,
19', Barja K. 🟨,
23', Areso J. 🟨,
24', Catena A. 🟨,
30', Essugo D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Oroz A. ⚽,
57', Fuster M. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
58', Barja K. ↓, Bretones A. ↑,
58', Moncayola J. 🟨,
69', Silva F. 🟨,
70', Moncayola J. ↓, Ibanez P. ↑,
70', Budimir A. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
72', Alex Suarez 🟨,
72', Essugo D. 🟨,
77', Boyomo F. 🟨,
81', Rodriguez K. ↓, Januzaj A. ↑,
81', Alex Suarez ↓, Pelmard A. ↑,
82', Garcia R. 🟨,
88', Pelmard A. 🟨,
90+1', Cruz J. ↓, Herrando J. ↑,
90+1', Areso J. ↓, Pena R. ↑,
90+1', Herrando J. 🟨,
90+2', Moleiro A. ↓, McBurnie O. ↑,
90+8', 1 - 1, Januzaj A. ⚽,
90+10', Januzaj A. 🟨,
90+12', Javier Munoz 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 14 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 1.

Las Palmas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Osasuna is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Las Palmas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Las Palmas: Marvin (Muscle Injury) Ramirez B. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Las Palmas: Campana J. (Muscle Injury) Viti (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Osasuna: Zaragoza B. (Foot Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:14 (average 1.9:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Las Palmas won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:6 (average 2.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga
19.01.25	Real Madrid - Las Palmas	4:1 ✺
12.01.25	Las Palmas - Getafe	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.01.25	Elche - Las Palmas	4:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
22.12.24	Las Palmas - Espanyol	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Real Sociedad - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLLWT
- Osasuna
Spanish LaLiga
19.01.25	Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.01.25	Athletic Bilbao - Osasuna	2:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
12.01.25	Atlético Madrid - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.01.25	Tenerife - Osasuna	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
21.12.24	Osasuna - Athletic Bilbao	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
21.09.24	Osasuna - Las Palmas	2:1
25.02.24	Las Palmas - Osasuna	1:1
11.11.23	Osasuna - Las Palmas	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
25.05.19	Osasuna - Las Palmas	2:0
12.01.19	Las Palmas - Osasuna	4:1
Spanish LaLiga
05.03.17	Las Palmas - Osasuna	5:2
01.10.16	Osasuna - Las Palmas	2:2

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