Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 23

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday

Location: Home Park (Plymouth)

Referee: Scott G. (Eng)


	Plymouth Argyle		Birmingham City

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.75	3.4
	2.05	3.7	3.3
	2.03	3.7	3.45
	2.06	3.82	3.58
	2.05	3.82	3.58
	2.05	3.5	3.25
	2.01	3.8	3.42	Watch
	2.08	3.75	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (2.02)	3.73 ↑ (3.53)	3.41 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Argyle
46.5%

Draw
25.5%

Birmingham City
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

26.6%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

26.5%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Plymouth Argyle aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	10%	23.3%

Plymouth Argyle - Birmingham City Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%). Birmingham will win (votes: 7 - 23.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 49.8% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Hazard C. (G) 8. Edwards J. (C) 5. Pleguezuelo J. 17. Gibson L. 22. Galloway B. 28. Cundle L. 4. Houghton J. 18. Azaz F. 10. Whittaker M. 23. Waine B. 2. Mumba B.	21. Ruddy J. (G) 44. Aiwu E. 4. Roberts M. 5. Sanderson D. (C) 3. Buchanan L. 17. Dembele S. 34. Sunjic I. 19. James J. 6. Bielik K. 7. Bacuna J. 28. Stansfield J.
Substitutes
25. Burton C. (G) 7. Butcher M. 3. Gillesphey M. 35. Issaka F. 29. Kesler Hayden K. 14. Miller M. 20. Randell A. 11. Wright C. 19. Wright T.	45. Burke O. 23. Emmanuel M. L. 1. Etheridge N. (G) 20. Gardner G. 9. Hogan S. 10. Jutkiewicz L. 11. Miyoshi K. 24. Oakley M. 8. Roberts T.
Coaches
Nancekivell K.	Rooney W.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 17 and 18).

Recent matches Plymouth is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Birmingham is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Birmingham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Plymouth will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Plymouth: Earley S. (Ankle Injury) Scarr D. (Red Card)

There will not play in Birmingham: Anderson K. (Muscle Injury) Chang A. (Knee Injury) Hall G. (Muscle Injury) Laird E. (Groin Injury) Long K. (Calf Injury) Roberts T. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Birmingham: Drameh C. (Knock)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Plymouth won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Argyle
English League Championship
16.12.23	Plymouth Argyle - Rotherham United	3:2 ✺
13.12.23	Queens Park Rangers - Plymouth Argyle	0:0 ✺
09.12.23	Leicester City - Plymouth Argyle	4:0 ✺
02.12.23	Plymouth Argyle - Stoke City	2:1 ✺
28.11.23	Coventry City - Plymouth Argyle	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTLWL
- Birmingham City
English League Championship
18.12.23	Birmingham City - Leicester City	2:3 ✺
13.12.23	Cardiff City - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
08.12.23	Coventry City - Birmingham City	2:0 ✺
02.12.23	Birmingham City - Rotherham United	0:0 ✺
29.11.23	Blackburn Rovers - Birmingham City	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
26.08.23	Birmingham City - Plymouth Argyle	2:1
English FA Cup
08.01.22	Birmingham City - Plymouth Argyle	0:1 ET
English League Cup
06.08.13	Birmingham City - Plymouth Argyle	3:2 ET

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