Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 34

Date: 23 February 2024, Friday

Location: Elland Road (Leeds)

Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	beIN Sports Max
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	Sky Sports


	Leeds United		Leicester City

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3.6	3.2
	2.17	3.53	3.24	Watch
	2.23	3.6	3.25
	2.22	3.57	3.37
	2.1	3.4	3.2
	2.11	3.66	3.28	Watch
	2.2	3.5	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.97)	3.53 ↓ (3.72)	3.26 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leeds United
43.9%

Draw
26.9%

Leicester City
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

25.5%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

26.8%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leeds United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
39.3%	39.3%	21.4%

Leeds United - Leicester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Leeds will win (votes: 11 - 39.3%). Leicester will win (votes: 6 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 39.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 21.2% – 57.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Meslier I. (G) 22. Gray A. 14. Rodon J. 4. Ampadu E. (C) 3. Firpo J. 44. Gruev I. 8. Kamara G. 29. Gnonto W. 24. Rutter G. 10. Summerville C. 7. Piroe J.	30. Hermansen M. (G) 21. Pereira R. (C) 3. Faes W. 23. Vestergaard J. 2. Justin J. 8. Winks H. 17. Choudhury H. 10. Mavididi S. 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 18. Fatawu I. 20. Daka P.
Substitutes
12. Anthony J. 9. Bamford P. 6. Cooper L. 5. Cresswell C. 20. James D. 49. Joseph M. 13. Klaesson K. (G) 33. Roberts C. 17. Shackleton J.	29. Akgun Y. 11. Albrighton M. 28. Cannon T. 4. Coady C. 5. Doyle C. 35. McAteer K. 45. Nelson B. 26. Praet D. 41. Stolarczyk J. (G)
Coaches
Farke D.	Maresca E.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leeds won 1.

Leeds in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Leicester is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Leeds have a series of guest games.

Leeds will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Leeds: Bamford P. (Calf Injury) Byram S. (Hamstring Injury) Dallas S. (Broken Leg) Darlow K. (Finger Injury) Struijk P. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Leicester: Ndidi W. (Muscle Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Leeds won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Leeds won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeds United
English League Championship
17.02.24	Plymouth Argyle - Leeds United	0:2 ✺
13.02.24	Swansea City - Leeds United	0:4 ✺
10.02.24	Leeds United - Rotherham United	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
06.02.24	Plymouth Argyle - Leeds United	1:4 ET ✺
English League Championship
02.02.24	Bristol City - Leeds United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWW
- Leicester City
English League Championship
17.02.24	Leicester City - Middlesbrough	1:2 ✺
13.02.24	Leicester City - Sheffield Wednesday	2:0 ✺
10.02.24	Watford - Leicester City	1:2 ✺
03.02.24	Stoke City - Leicester City	0:5 ✺
30.01.24	Leicester City - Swansea City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
03.11.23	Leicester City - Leeds United	0:1
English Premier League
25.04.23	Leeds United - Leicester City	1:1
20.10.22	Leicester City - Leeds United	2:0
05.03.22	Leicester City - Leeds United	1:0
07.11.21	Leeds United - Leicester City	1:1
31.01.21	Leicester City - Leeds United	1:3
02.11.20	Leeds United - Leicester City	1:4

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