Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Elland Road (Leeds)

Referee: England D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Bangladesh	Toffee Live
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
France	Canal+ Live 1, CANAL+ Sport
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1, Canal+ Sport 2
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 2
Hungary	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, JioStar, JioTV app
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League, Astro Sports, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Sports, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	FOX+, FOX One
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Mongolia	Premier Sports 2
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 3
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Setanta Sports
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 4
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Suriname	QN Sports, SCCN
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Digiturk
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBCSN, NBC Universo, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, USA Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play


	Leeds United		Manchester United

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.6	2.88
	2.30	3.70	2.85
	2.38	3.5	2.88
	2.4	3.65	3.03
	2.37	3.69	2.95	Watch
	2.3	3.55	3
	2.43	3.7	3	Watch
	2.35	3.6	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.52)	3.62 ↓ (3.74)	2.93 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leeds United
40.7%

Draw
26.5%

Manchester United
32.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.1%

25.7%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

26%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.4%	26.3%	26.3%

Leeds United - Manchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Leeds will win (votes: 9 - 50%). Man Utd will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Man Utd (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.57) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 8th and 14th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 1.

In recent outings, Leeds has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Man Utd has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Leeds could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Leeds: Joseph M. (Knee Injury) Rodon J. (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Man Utd: Dorgu P. (Hamstring Injury) Heaton T. (Abdominal strain) Sesko B. (Leg Injury) Ugarte M. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Leeds: James D. (Back Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Man Utd: Mainoo K. (Injury) Mazraoui N. (Injury) Shaw L. (Injury).

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Leeds has recorded 1 win, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:29 (averaging 0.9:2.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Leeds against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 3:7 goals (averaging 0.8:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Leeds	6	2	3	1	8:5	3	9
14	Manchester Utd	6	1	3	2	9:9	0	6

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Leeds: 0.58%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeds United
English Premier League
10.10.26	Arsenal - Leeds United	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Leeds United - Crystal Palace	0:0 ✺
14.09.26	Leeds United - Newcastle United	4:1 ✺
English League Cup
09.09.26	Chelsea - Leeds United	6:3 ✺
English Premier League
05.09.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Leeds United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTWLT
- Manchester United
UEFA Champions League
13.10.26	Atlético Madrid - Manchester United	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
10.10.26	Manchester United - Tottenham Hotspur	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Fulham - Manchester United	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
16.09.26	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:3 ✺
English Premier League
13.09.26	Manchester United - Manchester City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
12.08.26	Manchester United - Leeds United	2:1 penalties
English Premier League
13.04.26	Manchester United - Leeds United	1:2
04.01.26	Leeds United - Manchester United	1:1
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Manchester United - Leeds United	0:0
12.07.23	Manchester United - Leeds United	2:0
English Premier League
12.02.23	Leeds United - Manchester United	0:2
08.02.23	Manchester United - Leeds United	2:2

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