Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 21

Date: 15 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: King Power Stadium (Leicester)

Referee: Madley A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Leicester City		Crystal Palace

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.6	1.95
	3.7	3.5	2
				Watch
				Watch
	3.75	3.6	1.95
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3.72)	3.57 ↓ (3.71)	1.97 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicester City
25.3%

Draw
26.5%

Crystal Palace
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

24.5%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Crystal Palace has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.6%	17.5%	61.9%

Leicester City - Crystal Palace Predictions

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Leicester will win (votes: 13 - 21%). Crystal Palace will win (votes: 39 - 62.9%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 16.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 50.9% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Stolarczyk J. (G) 2. Justin J. 3. Faes W. 23. Vestergaard J. 16. Kristiansen V. 24. Soumare B. 8. Winks H. 40. Buonanotte F. 11. El Khannouss B. 10. Mavididi S. 9. Vardy J. (C)	1. Henderson D. (G) 26. Richards C. 5. Lacroix M. 6. Guehi M. (C) 12. Munoz D. 19. Hughes W. 8. Lerma J. 3. Mitchell T. 7. Sarr I. 10. Eze E. 14. Mateta J.
Substitutes
18. Ayew J. 17. Choudhury H. 4. Coady C. 20. Daka P. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 31. Iversen D. (G) 35. McAteer K. 22. Skipp O. 33. Thomas L.	17. Clyne N. 55. Devenny J. 28. Doucoure C. 18. Kamada D. 58. Kporha C. 9. Nketiah E. 34. Riad C. 15. Schlupp J. 30. Turner M. (G)
Coaches
van Nistelrooy R.	Glasner O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Lerma J. ↓, Doucoure C. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 0 - 1, Mateta J. ⚽, Sarr I. (A),
62', Hughes W. ↓, Kamada D. ↑,
66', Winks H. ↓, Skipp O. ↑,
66', Buonanotte F. ↓, McAteer K. ↑,
66', El Khannouss B. ↓, Daka P. ↑,
78', 0 - 2, Guehi M. ⚽, Eze E. (A),
79', Eze E. ↓, Devenny J. ↑,
80', Mateta J. ↓, Nketiah E. ↑,
80', Mitchell T. ↓, Clyne N. ↑,
80', Justin J. ↓, Ayew J. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leicester won 1.

Leicester is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Crystal Palace is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leicester could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Crystal Palace have a series of home games.

Crystal Palace will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Leicester: Edouard O. (Loan agreement) Fatawu I. (Knee Injury) Hermansen M. (Muscle Injury) Ndidi W. (Thigh Injury) Opoku N. (Broken Leg) Pereira R. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Crystal Palace: Holding R. (Coach's decision) Matheus Franca (Muscle Injury) Wharton A. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Leicester: Vestergaard J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Crystal Palace: Henderson D. (Illness) Hughes W. (Ankle Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Leicester won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 25:30 (average 1.3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Leicester won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.3:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester City
English FA Cup
11.01.25	Leicester City - Queens Park Rangers	6:2 ✺
English Premier League
04.01.25	Aston Villa - Leicester City	2:1 ✺
29.12.24	Leicester City - Manchester City	0:2 ✺
26.12.24	Liverpool - Leicester City	3:1 ✺
22.12.24	Leicester City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL
- Crystal Palace
English FA Cup
12.01.25	Crystal Palace - Stockport County	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
04.01.25	Crystal Palace - Chelsea	1:1 ✺
29.12.24	Crystal Palace - Southampton	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Bournemouth - Crystal Palace	0:0 ✺
21.12.24	Crystal Palace - Arsenal	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
14.09.24	Crystal Palace - Leicester City	2:2
01.04.23	Crystal Palace - Leicester City	2:1
15.10.22	Leicester City - Crystal Palace	0:0
10.04.22	Leicester City - Crystal Palace	2:1
03.10.21	Crystal Palace - Leicester City	2:2
26.04.21	Leicester City - Crystal Palace	2:1
28.12.20	Crystal Palace - Leicester City	1:1

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