Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 21

Date: 15 January 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: King Power Stadium (Leicester) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Madley A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport Variety 2
Armenia	23:30	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Australia	06:30	Optus Sport
Austria	20:30	Sky Go Austria
Brazil	16:30	Disney+
Cambodia	02:30	True Sport 2
Canada	14:30	fubo Sports Network 4 DRM
China	03:30	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	20:30	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	20:30	CANAL+ Sport 4
Denmark	20:30	Viaplay
Finland	21:30	Viaplay
France	20:30	Canal+ Live 4
Germany	20:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 8, WOW
Greece	21:30	Nova Sports News
Hong Kong	03:30	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 5
India	01:00	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	02:30	Vidio
Italy	20:30	NOW TV, Sky Sport 254
Japan	04:30	U-NEXT
Laos	02:30	True Sport 2
Malaysia	03:30	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 4, SKY NET Sports 1
Mexico	13:30	FOX Sports Premium
Montenegro	20:30	Arena Sport 3
Netherlands	20:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	08:30	Sky Sport 3, Sky Sport NOW
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	20:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	20:30	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 3
Papua New Guinea	05:30	TVWan Sports
Poland	20:30	Viaplay
Portugal	19:30	DAZN 4
Romania	21:30	Prima Sport PPV 2
Singapore	03:30	Hub Premier 4, StarHub TV+
South Korea	04:30	SPOTV Now
Spain	20:30	DAZN 4 Espana, DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	20:30	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Thailand	02:30	True Sport 2
Turkey	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
United Kingdom	19:30	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4
Usa	14:30	Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV
Vietnam	02:30	ON Plus
International	19:30	Disney+, JioTV app


	Leicester City		Crystal Palace

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.6	1.95
	3.7	3.5	2
				Watch
				Watch
	3.75	3.6	1.95
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3.72)	3.57 ↓ (3.71)	1.97 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicester City
25.3%

Draw
26.5%

Crystal Palace
48.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.8%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

24.5%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Crystal Palace has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.6%	17.5%	61.9%

Leicester City - Crystal Palace Predictions

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Leicester will win (votes: 13 - 21%). Crystal Palace will win (votes: 39 - 62.9%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 16.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 50.9% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Stolarczyk J. (G) 2. Justin J. 3. Faes W. 23. Vestergaard J. 16. Kristiansen V. 24. Soumare B. 8. Winks H. 40. Buonanotte F. 11. El Khannouss B. 10. Mavididi S. 9. Vardy J. (C)	1. Henderson D. (G) 26. Richards C. 5. Lacroix M. 6. Guehi M. (C) 12. Munoz D. 19. Hughes W. 8. Lerma J. 3. Mitchell T. 7. Sarr I. 10. Eze E. 14. Mateta J.
Substitutes
18. Ayew J. 17. Choudhury H. 4. Coady C. 20. Daka P. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 31. Iversen D. (G) 35. McAteer K. 22. Skipp O. 33. Thomas L.	17. Clyne N. 55. Devenny J. 28. Doucoure C. 18. Kamada D. 58. Kporha C. 9. Nketiah E. 34. Riad C. 15. Schlupp J. 30. Turner M. (G)
Coaches
van Nistelrooy R.	Glasner O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Lerma J. ↓, Doucoure C. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 0 - 1, Mateta J. ⚽, Sarr I. (A),
62', Hughes W. ↓, Kamada D. ↑,
66', Winks H. ↓, Skipp O. ↑,
66', Buonanotte F. ↓, McAteer K. ↑,
66', El Khannouss B. ↓, Daka P. ↑,
78', 0 - 2, Guehi M. ⚽, Eze E. (A),
79', Eze E. ↓, Devenny J. ↑,
80', Mateta J. ↓, Nketiah E. ↑,
80', Mitchell T. ↓, Clyne N. ↑,
80', Justin J. ↓, Ayew J. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leicester won 1.

Leicester is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Crystal Palace is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leicester could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Crystal Palace have a series of home games.

Crystal Palace will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Leicester: Edouard O. (Loan agreement) Fatawu I. (Knee Injury) Hermansen M. (Muscle Injury) Ndidi W. (Thigh Injury) Opoku N. (Broken Leg) Pereira R. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Crystal Palace: Holding R. (Coach's decision) Matheus Franca (Muscle Injury) Wharton A. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Leicester: Vestergaard J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Crystal Palace: Henderson D. (Illness) Hughes W. (Ankle Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Leicester won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 25:30 (average 1.3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Leicester won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.3:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester City
English FA Cup
11.01.25	Leicester City - Queens Park Rangers	6:2 ✺
English Premier League
04.01.25	Aston Villa - Leicester City	2:1 ✺
29.12.24	Leicester City - Manchester City	0:2 ✺
26.12.24	Liverpool - Leicester City	3:1 ✺
22.12.24	Leicester City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL
- Crystal Palace
English FA Cup
12.01.25	Crystal Palace - Stockport County	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
04.01.25	Crystal Palace - Chelsea	1:1 ✺
29.12.24	Crystal Palace - Southampton	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Bournemouth - Crystal Palace	0:0 ✺
21.12.24	Crystal Palace - Arsenal	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
14.09.24	Crystal Palace - Leicester City	2:2
01.04.23	Crystal Palace - Leicester City	2:1
15.10.22	Leicester City - Crystal Palace	0:0
10.04.22	Leicester City - Crystal Palace	2:1
03.10.21	Crystal Palace - Leicester City	2:2
26.04.21	Leicester City - Crystal Palace	2:1
28.12.20	Crystal Palace - Leicester City	1:1

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