Match Info

Championship - Round 38

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: King Power Stadium (Leicester)

Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Leicester City		Queens Park Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.5	3.9	Watch
	1.94	3.54	3.93
	1.96	3.61	4.02
	1.93	3.6	3.88	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.75
	1.93	3.5	3.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.17)	3.51 ↓ (3.53)	3.88 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicester City
48.9%

Draw
26.8%

Queens Park Rangers
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

26.9%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

27.6%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leicester City's performance.

Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leicester City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Queens Park Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	5.3%	15.8%

Leicester City - Queens Park Rangers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Leicester City will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leicester City will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stolarczyk J. (G) 17. Choudhury H. (C) 5. Okoli C. 4. Nelson B. 33. Thomas L. 22. Skipp O. 6. James J. 7. Fatawu I. 29. Mukasa D. 10. Mavididi S. 9. Ayew J.	13. Walsh J. (G) 27. Mbengue A. S. 3. Dunne J. (C) 37. Edwards R. 18. Norrington-Davies R. 20. Vale H. 15. Hayden I. 21. Morgan K. 11. Smyth P. 26. Kolli R. 22. Kone R.
Substitutes
18. Aribo J. 20. Daka P. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 24. Lascelles J. 28. Monga J. 21. Pereira R. 12. Richards D. 13. Vieites F. (G) 8. Winks H.	2. Adamson K. 23. Bennie D. 6. Clarke-Salter J. 28. Esquerdinha 29. Hamer B. (G) 17. Poku K. 14. Saito K. 30. Smith T. 40. Varane J.
Coaches
Rowett G.	Stephan J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, James J. ⚽, Nelson B. (A),
25', Nelson B. 🟨,
28', Kone R. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Vale H. ⚽, Edwards R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 1 - 2, Nelson B. (Own goal),
58', 1 - 3, Edwards R. ⚽, Vale H. (A),
60', Ayew J. ↓, Daka P. ↑,
61', Skipp O. ↓, Winks H. ↑,
61', Mukasa D. ↓, De Cordova-Reid B. ↑,
72', Morgan K. ↓, Varane J. ↑,
72', Kolli R. ↓, Poku K. ↑,
78', James J. ↓, Richards D. ↑,
78', Choudhury H. ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
79', Dunne J. 🟨,
83', Varane J. 🟨,
84', Smyth P. ↓, Saito K. ↑,
90+5', Vale H. ↓, Bennie D. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leicester won 2.

Recent performances by Leicester have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

QPR is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Leicester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Leicester could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Leicester: Begovic A. (Injury) Kristiansen V. (Injury) Ramsey A. (Injury) Souttar H. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Vestergaard J. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in QPR: Burrell R. (Injury) Chair I. (Muscle Injury) Dembele K. (Injury) Larkeche Z. (Knee Injury) Obikwu J. (Knock)

There are questionable in QPR: Cook S. (Injury) Madsen N. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Leicester won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 2.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Leicester won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 3.3:1.3).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

QPR: 3.11%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	QPR	9	3	5	1	11:8	3	14

Last Results with these Odds

Queens Park Rangers - the odds 3.24 are the expected chance of winning is 29.32%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester City
English League Championship
10.03.26	Leicester City - Bristol City	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Ipswich Town - Leicester City	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Leicester City - Norwich City	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Middlesbrough - Leicester City	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Stoke City - Leicester City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WTLTT
- Queens Park Rangers
English League Championship
11.03.26	Birmingham City - Queens Park Rangers	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Queens Park Rangers - Middlesbrough	0:4 ✺
28.02.26	Queens Park Rangers - Sheffield United	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Southampton - Queens Park Rangers	5:0 ✺
21.02.26	Hull City - Queens Park Rangers	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
20.12.25	Queens Park Rangers - Leicester City	4:1
English FA Cup
11.01.25	Leicester City - Queens Park Rangers	6:2
English League Championship
02.03.24	Leicester City - Queens Park Rangers	1:2
28.10.23	Queens Park Rangers - Leicester City	1:2
Club Friendly
31.07.21	Queens Park Rangers - Leicester City	3:3
English Premier League
24.05.15	Leicester City - Queens Park Rangers	5:1
29.11.14	Queens Park Rangers - Leicester City	3:2

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