Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 19

Date: 29 December 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Selhurst Park (London) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, Showmax, Supersport Action, SuperSport Variety 2
Argentina	12:00	ESPN 2
Armenia	19:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Australia	02:00	Optus Sport
Austria	16:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:00	Arena Sport 4, Moja TV
Brazil	12:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	17:00	Nova Sport
Cambodia	22:00	True Sport 2
Canada	10:00	fubo Sports Network 5 DRM
China	23:00	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	10:00	ESPN 2, ESPN
Croatia	16:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	16:00	CANAL+ Sport 5
Denmark	16:00	Viaplay
Finland	17:00	Viaplay
France	16:00	Canal+ Live 4
Germany	16:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 2, WOW
Greece	17:00	Nova Sports Start
Hong Kong	23:00	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 5
Iceland	15:00	Siminn Sport 4
India	20:30	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	22:00	Vidio
Japan	00:00	U-NEXT
Laos	22:00	True Sport 2
Malaysia	23:00	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 4, SKY NET Sports 2, Sooka
Malta	16:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	09:00	HBO Max, MAX
Montenegro	16:00	Arena Sport 4
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	04:00	Sky Sport 4
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	16:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 3
Peru	10:00	ESPN
Poland	16:00	Viaplay
Portugal	15:00	DAZN 5
Romania	17:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Singapore	23:00	StarHub TV+
Slovenia	16:00	Arena Sport 4
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, ESPN South
South Korea	00:00	SPOTV Now
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay
Thailand	22:00	True Sport 2
Turkey	18:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
Usa	10:00	Peacock TV
Venezuela	11:00	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	22:00	ON Plus
International	15:00	Disney+, JioTV app


	Crystal Palace		Southampton

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.1	6.25
	1.58	4.1	5.75
	1.58	4.35	6.2	Watch
	1.63	4.2	5.7
	1.59	4.18	6.13	Watch
	1.57	4	6
	1.6	4.33	5.9	Watch
	1.58	4.35	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.59)	4.2 ↓ (4.23)	6.02 ↑ (5.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crystal Palace
60.9%

Draw
23%

Southampton
16.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.1%

22.7%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

22%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.3%	13.3%	8.3%

Crystal Palace - Southampton Predictions

Users Predictions: Crystal Palace will win (46 of 57 users predict this - 80.7%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.45% – 90.95%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Henderson D. (G) 27. Chalobah T. 5. Lacroix M. 26. Richards C. 12. Munoz D. 19. Hughes W. (C) 8. Lerma J. 3. Mitchell T. 7. Sarr I. 10. Eze E. 14. Mateta J.	30. Ramsdale A. (G) 6. Harwood-Bellis T. 35. Bednarek J. (C) 15. Wood N. 14. Bree J. 7. Aribo J. 18. Fernandes M. 2. Walker-Peters K. 33. Dibling T. 9. Armstrong A. 32. Onuachu P.
Substitutes
17. Clyne N. 55. Devenny J. 28. Doucoure C. 18. Kamada D. 58. Kporha C. 9. Nketiah E. 34. Riad C. 15. Schlupp J. 30. Turner M. (G)	19. Archer C. 37. Bella-Kotchap A. 10. Lallana A. 3. Manning R. 1. McCarthy A. (G) 16. Sugawara Y. 20. Sulemana K. 21. Taylor C. 26. Ugochukwu L.
Coaches
Glasner O.	Juric I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Dibling T. ⚽, Armstrong A. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Chalobah T. ⚽, Hughes W. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Aribo J. ↓, Ugochukwu L. ↑,
52', 2 - 1, Eze E. ⚽,
58', Fernandes M. 🟨,
65', Onuachu P. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
65', Armstrong A. ↓, Sulemana K. ↑,
69', Harwood-Bellis T. 🟨,
79', Hughes W. 🟨,
80', Bednarek J. 🟨,
86', Eze E. ↓, Kamada D. ↑,
86', Hughes W. ↓, Doucoure C. ↑,
86', Walker-Peters K. ↓, Manning R. ↑,
86', Dibling T. ↓, Lallana A. ↑,
90+4', Sarr I. ↓, Nketiah E. ↑,
90+6', Nketiah E. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Crystal Palace won 3.

Recent matches Crystal Palace is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

S`hampton has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

S`hampton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Crystal Palace is a favorite.

There will not play in Crystal Palace: Guehi M. (Yellow Cards) Holding R. (Coach's decision) Matheus Franca (Muscle Injury) Wharton A. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in S`hampton: Bazunu G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Smallbone W. (Thigh Injury) Stephens J. (Knock) Stewart R. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Crystal Palace: Hughes W. (Knee Injury) Riad C. (Knee Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Crystal Palace won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 22:27 (average 1.1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Crystal Palace won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crystal Palace
English Premier League
26.12.24	Bournemouth - Crystal Palace	0:0 ✺
21.12.24	Crystal Palace - Arsenal	1:5 ✺
English League Cup
18.12.24	Arsenal - Crystal Palace	3:2 ✺
English Premier League
15.12.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Crystal Palace	1:3 ✺
07.12.24	Crystal Palace - Manchester City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TLLWT
- Southampton FC
English Premier League
26.12.24	Southampton - West Ham United	0:1 ✺
22.12.24	Fulham - Southampton	0:0 ✺
English League Cup
18.12.24	Southampton - Liverpool	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
15.12.24	Southampton - Tottenham Hotspur	0:5 ✺
07.12.24	Aston Villa - Southampton	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
15.04.23	Southampton - Crystal Palace	0:2
English FA Cup
07.01.23	Crystal Palace - Southampton	1:2
English Premier League
29.10.22	Crystal Palace - Southampton	1:0
30.04.22	Southampton - Crystal Palace	1:2
15.12.21	Crystal Palace - Southampton	2:2
11.05.21	Southampton - Crystal Palace	3:1
12.09.20	Crystal Palace - Southampton	1:0

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