Match Info

Date: 28 April 2022, Thursday


	Leicester City		Roma

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3.2
	2.2	3.3	3.3
	2.25	3.25	3.35
	2.3	3.25	3.15
	2.33	3.35	3.33
	2.38	3.42	3.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.27)	3.33 ↓ (3.39)	3.3 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicester City
42%

Draw
28.9%

Roma
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

28.1%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

28.1%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.7%	21.4%	22.9%

Leicester City - Roma Predictions

Users Predictions: 70 users predict this event. Leicester will win (votes: 39 - 55.7%). Roma will win (votes: 16 - 22.9%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leicester: 44.1% – 67.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Leicester was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, was already of semis, has a chance of final (40%), has a chance of win league (18%).

Roma was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, was already of semis, has a good chance of final (60%), has a chance of win league (32%).

This event has big quality 72, very big importance 100, big match rating 86. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Roma could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Leicester will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester City
English Premier League
23.04.22	Leicester City - Aston Villa	0:0 ✺
20.04.22	Everton - Leicester City	1:1 ✺
17.04.22	Newcastle United - Leicester City	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.04.22	PSV Eindhoven - Leicester City	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
10.04.22	Leicester City - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TTLWW
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
23.04.22	Inter Milan - Roma	3:1 ✺
18.04.22	Napoli - Roma	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.04.22	Roma - Bodø Glimt	4:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
10.04.22	Roma - Salernitana	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.04.22	Bodø Glimt - Roma	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTWWL

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