Match Info

Date: 20 October 2021, Wednesday


	Spartak Moscow		Leicester City

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.75	1.72
	4	3.6	1.87
	5	3.7	1.75
	4.6	3.7	1.71
	5	3.75	1.78
	4.8	3.75	1.7
	5.05	4.05	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.74 ↑ (4.29)	3.76 ↑ (3.56)	1.76 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Moscow
20.2%

Draw
25.5%

Leicester City
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

26.7%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

17.7%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spartak Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (-20.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leicester City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9%	7.4%	83.6%

Spartak Moscow - Leicester City Predictions

Users Predictions: Leicester City will win (158 of 189 users predict this - 83.6%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.32% – 88.88%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Spartak M has a chance of round of 16 (16%), has a very small chance of qtrs (5%), has a very small chance of semis (1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%), has currently - 3, has a small chance of 1st (12%), has a chance of 2nd (17%), has a chance of 3rd (25%).

Leicester has a chance of round of 16 (35%), has a chance of qtrs (20%), has a small chance of semis (10%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (3%), has currently - 1, has a chance of 1st (21%), has a chance of 2nd (27%), has a chance of 3rd (27%).

Spartak M is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Leicester is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Leicester is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Spartak Moscow
Russian Premier League
16.10.21	Spartak Moscow - Dynamo Moscow	2:2 ✺
03.10.21	Akhmat Grozny - Spartak Moscow	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.09.21	Napoli - Spartak Moscow	2:3 ✺
Russian Premier League
25.09.21	Spartak Moscow - Ufa	2:0 ✺
20.09.21	CSKA Moscow - Spartak Moscow	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 TWWWL
- Leicester City
English Premier League
16.10.21	Leicester City - Manchester United	4:2 ✺
03.10.21	Crystal Palace - Leicester City	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.09.21	Legia Warsaw - Leicester City	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
25.09.21	Leicester City - Burnley	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
22.09.21	Millwall - Leicester City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTLTW

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