Match Info

Date: 22 February 2020, Saturday


	Lens		Caen

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.5	7	Watch
	1.57	3.5	6.5
	1.58	3.5	6.5	Watch
	1.58	3.41	6.17
	1.61	3.5	7.5
	1.6	3.5	7
	1.66	3.5	6.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.61)	3.49 ↑ (3.47)	6.71 ↑ (6.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lens
59%

Draw
27%

Caen
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

27.1%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

15.5%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-25.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lens that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lens - Caen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Lens
French Ligue 2
17.02.20	Châteauroux - Lens	3:2 ✺
10.02.20	Lens - Grenoble	0:0 ✺
04.02.20	Lens - Troyes	1:0 ✺
31.01.20	Le Havre - Lens	0:0 ✺
25.01.20	Lens - Clermont	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTWTT
- SM Caen
French Ligue 2
14.02.20	Caen - Troyes	0:1 ✺
07.02.20	Le Havre - Caen	1:1 ✺
04.02.20	Caen - Niort	4:3 ✺
31.01.20	Chambly - Caen	0:1 ✺
24.01.20	Caen - Ajaccio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
21.09.19	Caen - Lens	0:2
French Ligue 1
28.09.14	Lens - Caen	0:0
Club Friendly
26.07.14	Caen - Lens	4:2
French Ligue 2
05.04.14	Caen - Lens	1:0
02.11.13	Lens - Caen	2:1
12.04.13	Caen - Lens	0:0
12.11.12	Lens - Caen	0:0

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