The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leones del Norte 65.7%
Draw 21.9%
22 de Julio 12.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.3%
27.5%
21.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.2%
27%
20.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leones del Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leones del Norte's performance.
22 de Julio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and 22 de Julio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (-13.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leones del Norte that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for 22 de Julio than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that 22 de Julio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
37.5%
12.5%
Leones del Norte - 22 de Julio Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Leones del Norte will win (votes: 4 - 50%). 22 de Julio will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Leones del Norte: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +1.25 - 22 de Julio (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. 22 de Julio (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Velasco K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 2 - 0, Caramuto M. ⚽,
90+3', 🟥,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 8 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).
Leones del Norte is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
22 de Julio has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
22 de Julio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Leones del Norte is the undeniable favorite.
In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
Ecuador
Watch
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