Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 24

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6
Mexico	Sky Sport
Peru	Disney+
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Spain	Movistar Plus+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Leonesa		Deportivo A Coruña

	1	X	2
	3.3	3	2.25	Watch
	3.15	3.1	2.25	Watch
	3.33	3.17	2.4
	3.31	3.19	2.29	Watch
	3.25	3	2.25
	3.57	3.1	2.22	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (3.21)	3.09 ↓ (3.33)	2.28 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Leonesa
28.4%

Draw
30.4%

Deportivo A Coruña
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

28%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

27.4%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Deportivo A Coruña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	20%	70%

Leonesa - Deportivo A Coruña Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Deportivo will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Deportivo (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Deportivo (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 1 - 10%). Deportivo (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Badia E. (G) 24. Garcia V. 4. Rodri Suarez (C) 36. Barzic M. 21. Hinojo R. 6. Maestre S. 17. Calero I. 23. Diallo Selu M. 28. Ojeda T. 20. Tresaco R. 19. Sobrino R.	24. Fernandez A. (G) 2. Altimira A. 4. Noubi L. 15. Loureiro M. 12. Quagliata G. 19. Cruz Luismi 20. Jurado J. (C) 21. Soriano M. 10. Hernandez Y. 22. Stoichkov 7. Mulattieri S.
Substitutes
12. Al Amin H. 1. Banuz M. (G) 14. Bicho 7. Collado D. 38. Cuello S. 5. Fornos Q. 8. Gonzalez Y. 9. Justo M. 11. Moreno V. 26. Rafus A. (G) 16. Ribeiro T. 3. Satrustegui E.	5. Barcia D. 37. Carillo N. 3. Comas A. 18. Escudero S. 16. Gragera J. 17. Herrera C. 11. Mella D. 23. Navarro X. 32. Nsongo B. 1. Parreno G. (G) 6. Patino C. 8. Villares D.
Coaches
Ziganda C.	Hidalgo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Tresaco R. 🟨,
28', Jurado J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Stoichkov ↓, Mella D. ↑,
61', Diallo Selu M. 🟨,
67', Tresaco R. ↓, Moreno V. ↑,
68', Mulattieri S. ↓, Nsongo B. ↑,
68', Jurado J. ↓, Patino C. ↑,
81', Diallo Selu M. ↓, Gonzalez Y. ↑,
81', Sobrino R. ↓, Collado D. ↑,
84', Altimira A. ↓, Navarro X. ↑,
84', Quagliata G. ↓, Escudero S. ↑,
87', Patino C. 🟨,
90+1', Calero I. ↓, Justo M. ↑,
90+1', Badia E. 🟨,
90+3', 0 - 1, Hernandez Y. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 2.

Leonesa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Deportivo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Deportivo could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Leonesa: Ribeiro L. (Red Card)

There will not play in Deportivo: Eddahchouri Z. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Leonesa: Bicho (Inactive)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Leonesa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Leonesa - the odds 3.21 are the expected chance of winning is 29.03%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish LaLiga2
26.01.26	Ceuta - Leonesa	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Leonesa - Sporting de Gijón	2:4 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.01.26	Leonesa - Athletic Bilbao	3:4 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
10.01.26	FC Andorra - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Leonesa - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLTT
- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish LaLiga2
25.01.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Racing Santander	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Almería - Deportivo A Coruña	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.01.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Atlético Madrid	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
10.01.26	Las Palmas - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Cádiz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
08.11.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Leonesa	3:0
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.04.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Leonesa	2:0
14.01.24	Leonesa - Deportivo A Coruña	1:0
19.03.23	Leonesa - Deportivo A Coruña	1:0
20.11.22	Deportivo A Coruña - Leonesa	2:2
19.03.22	Deportivo A Coruña - Leonesa	2:1
19.12.21	Leonesa - Deportivo A Coruña	2:3

Upcoming Matches