Match Info

Date: 8 December 2020, Tuesday


	Libertad Asuncion		Palmeiras

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.4	2	Watch
	3.75	3.25	2
	4.1	3.1	1.95	Watch
	4.2	3.1	1.93
	4.59	3.21	1.98
	4.2	3.1	2
	4.25	3.34	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↑ (3.66)	3.21 ↓ (3.38)	1.97 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Libertad Asuncion
22.9%

Draw
29.3%

Palmeiras
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

28.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

18.8%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Libertad Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-17.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Palmeiras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Libertad Asuncion - Palmeiras Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 20 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 54.7% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Palmeiras will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Libertad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Libertad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
05.12.20	Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.12.20	Jorge Wilstermann - Libertad Asuncion	0:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
28.11.20	Libertad Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.11.20	Libertad Asuncion - Jorge Wilstermann	3:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
20.11.20	San Lorenzo - Libertad Asuncion	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWWWT
- Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A
05.12.20	Santos - Palmeiras	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.12.20	Palmeiras - Delfín	5:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
28.11.20	Palmeiras - Athletico Paranaense	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.11.20	Delfín - Palmeiras	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
21.11.20	Goiás - Palmeiras	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Comunicaciones Antel
20.01.16	Palmeiras - Libertad Asuncion	2:0
Copa Libertadores
11.04.13	Palmeiras - Libertad Asuncion	1:0
28.02.13	Libertad Asuncion - Palmeiras	2:0

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