Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 20 December 2022, Tuesday

Location: St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton)

Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool


	Southampton		Lincoln City

	1	X	2
	1.25	6	10	Watch
	1.26	5.75	10
	1.25	6	12.5
	1.26	5.8	10
	1.27	6	11.34
	1.22	5.25	11
	1.26	6.3	12	Watch
	1.26	5.8	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.3)	5.86 ↑ (5.26)	10.86 ↑ (8.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Southampton
75.2%

Draw
16.1%

Lincoln City
8.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.6%

17.7%

10.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

15.9%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Southampton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	7.4%	37%

Southampton - Lincoln City Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. S`hampton will win (votes: 15 - 55.6%). Lincoln will win (votes: 10 - 37%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 36.9% – 74.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Lincoln could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match S`hampton is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in S`hampton: Larios J. (Muscle Injury) Livramento V. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Lincoln: Montsma L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Lincoln: Mandroiu D. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches S`hampton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams S`hampton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southampton FC
English Premier League
12.11.22	Liverpool - Southampton	3:1 ✺
English League Cup
09.11.22	Southampton - Sheffield Wednesday	2:1 penalties ✺
English Premier League
06.11.22	Southampton - Newcastle United	1:4 ✺
29.10.22	Crystal Palace - Southampton	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Southampton - Arsenal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLLT
- Lincoln City
English EFL Trophy
13.12.22	Lincoln City - Everton U21	4:2 ✺
English League One
10.12.22	Lincoln City - Wycombe Wanderers	0:0 ✺
03.12.22	Shrewsbury Town - Lincoln City	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
22.11.22	Lincoln City - Morecambe	2:1 penalties ✺
English League One
19.11.22	Lincoln City - Morecambe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTLWW

Upcoming Matches