Match Info

Date: 28 February 2023, Tuesday

Location: LNER stadium (Lincoln)


	Lincoln City		Milton Keynes Dons

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3.5
	2.15	3.1	3.5
	2.2	3.15	3.5
	2.42	3.15	2.7
	2.2	3.18	3.77
	2.2	3	3.5
	2.16	3.22	3.52	Watch
	2.2	3.15	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.5)	3.14 ↓ (3.26)	3.42 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lincoln City
42.5%

Draw
30%

Milton Keynes Dons
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28.8%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

29.2%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Milton Keynes Dons might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lincoln City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Milton Keynes Dons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	41.7%	8.3%

Lincoln City - Milton Keynes Dons Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 12 - 50%). MK Dons will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 30% – 70%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Lincoln has the most likely position - 10 (6.78%), has project points - 62, has currently - 13, has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (12%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

MK Dons has the most likely position - 9 (7.36%), has project points - 66, has currently - 10, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (18%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Lincoln could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Lincoln won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lincoln City
English League One
25.02.23	Forest Green Rovers - Lincoln City	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Lincoln City - Portsmouth	0:0 ✺
14.02.23	Derby County - Lincoln City	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Lincoln City - Bristol Rovers	1:0 ✺
04.02.23	Accrington Stanley - Lincoln City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TTTWW
- Milton Keynes Dons
English League One
25.02.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Ipswich Town	0:1 ✺
18.02.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Milton Keynes Dons	5:2 ✺
14.02.23	Bolton Wanderers - Milton Keynes Dons	5:0 ✺
11.02.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Oxford United	1:1 ✺
04.02.23	Bristol Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
14.01.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Lincoln City	0:0
05.02.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Lincoln City	2:1
26.12.21	Lincoln City - Milton Keynes Dons	2:3
13.04.21	Lincoln City - Milton Keynes Dons	4:0
19.09.20	Milton Keynes Dons - Lincoln City	1:2
11.02.20	Lincoln City - Milton Keynes Dons	1:1
20.08.19	Milton Keynes Dons - Lincoln City	2:1

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