The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Liverpool 62%
Draw 20%
Ajax 18%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.6%
20.3%
17.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.5%
21.6%
16.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
53.1%
13.1%
33.8%
Liverpool - Ajax Predictions
Users Predictions:
130 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 69 - 53.1%). Ajax will win (votes: 44 - 33.8%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 13.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 44.5% – 61.7%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Liverpool has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (24%), has a chance of 2nd (32%), has a chance of 3rd (33%), has a good chance of round of 16 (57%), has a chance of qtrs (36%), has a chance of semis (21%), has a small chance of final (12%), has a small chance of win league (6%).
Ajax has currently - 3, has a chance of 1st (46%), has a chance of 2nd (27%), has a chance of 3rd (23%), has a good chance of round of 16 (73%), has a chance of qtrs (45%), has a chance of semis (25%), has a small chance of final (13%), has a small chance of win league (6%).
This event has big quality88, big importance79, big match rating84. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Liverpool is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Ajax in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Liverpool could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Liverpool is a favorite.
There will not play in Liverpool: Henderson J.
(Thigh Injury)
Jones C.
(Leg Injury)
Keita N.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Konate I.
(Knee Injury)
Oxlade-Chamberlain A.
(Muscle Injury)
Ramsay C.
(Injury)
Robertson A.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Ajax: Wijndal O.
(Knock)
There are questionable in Liverpool: Kelleher C.
(Muscle Injury)
Last 2 head-to-head matches Liverpool won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
Including matches at home between the teams Liverpool won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
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