Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Belvedere (Montevideo)

Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Viju+ Sport
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter


	Liverpool Montevideo		Plaza Colonia

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.2	4.1	Watch
	1.9	3.25	3.75
	1.96	3.3	3.75	Watch
	2.02	3.4	4
	1.98	3.31	3.87	Watch
	2	3.1	3.8
	1.97	3.3	3.87	Watch
	1.96	3.3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.92)	3.27 ↑ (3.26)	3.86 ↓ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool Montevideo
47.4%

Draw
28.5%

Plaza Colonia
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

28.5%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

27.9%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Plaza Colonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Liverpool Montevideo - Plaza Colonia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Liverpool (1.23) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Liverpool (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Lentinelly S. (C) 4. Perdomo F. 2. Rea M. 26. Cabral N. 23. Castillo E. 8. Quintana H. 20. Rabunal M. 80. Napoli G. 24. Amaro K. 10. Hernandez A. 7. Vallejo N.	25. Silva J. (G) 20. Redin E. 16. Velazquez M. 4. Ruiz Diaz H. 22. Ramos J. 8. Villalba D. 3. Calleros Y. (C) 80. Carrizo L. 11. Pablo Garcia 10. Ebere C. 7. Diogo Oliveira
Substitutes
16. Acosta L. 32. Bregante F. 29. de Mello G. 9. Machado R. 25. Marquez E. (G) 6. Milano S. 15. Rodriguez D. 17. Soria N. 22. Telechea M. 31. Wasilewsky L.	9. Alex Bruno 27. Barros C. 2. Lorenzi M. 5. Meite Y. 30. Ocampo A. 17. Otegui S. 23. Piriz F. 6. Redin M. 44. Reyes G. (G) 14. Traore M.
Coaches
Papa J.	Diaz S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Ramos J. ↓, Otegui S. ↑,
21', Rabunal M. 🟨,
44', Perdomo F. 🟨,
45+4', Rea M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Rabunal M. ⚽,
74', Castillo E. 🟨,
75', Napoli G. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
75', Quintana H. ↓, Bregante F. ↑,
75', Hernandez A. ↓, Machado R. ↑,
78', Villalba D. ↓, Redin M. ↑,
78', Carrizo L. ↓, Barros C. ↑,
78', Ebere C. ↓, Alex Bruno ↑,
78', Pablo Garcia ↓, Ocampo A. ↑,
86', Vallejo N. ↓, Telechea M. ↑,
90', Diogo Oliveira 🟨,
90+2', Amaro K. 🟨,
90+4', Silva J. 🟨,
90+5', Amaro K. ↓, Acosta L. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Liverpool won 3.

Liverpool is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Plaza Colonia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Plaza Colonia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Liverpool will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Liverpool won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:16 (average 1.2:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Liverpool won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:9 (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
14.04.25	Racing Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Liverpool Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Boston River - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1 ✺
26.03.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	2:2 ✺
20.03.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.5 TTWTW
- Plaza Colonia
Uruguayan Primera Division
12.04.25	Progreso - Plaza Colonia	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Plaza Colonia - Racing Montevideo	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	River Plate Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	1:2 ✺
26.03.25	Plaza Colonia - Boston River	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	Nacional Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
14.11.23	Plaza Colonia - Liverpool Montevideo	0:0
15.07.23	Liverpool Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	2:2
10.04.23	Liverpool Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	3:1
30.09.22	Plaza Colonia - Liverpool Montevideo	1:3
07.05.22	Liverpool Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	1:0
16.10.21	Liverpool Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	0:1
17.06.21	Plaza Colonia - Liverpool Montevideo	2:1

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