Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 11 April 2024, Thursday

Location: Allianz Parque (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV


	Palmeiras		Liverpool Montevideo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.13	8.75	18.5
	1.11	8.5	23	Watch
	1.12	8.3	21
	1.11	9.83	22.79
	1.06	8.5	23
	1.11	8.9	26	Watch
	1.11	7.8	19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 ↓ (1.25)	8.65 ↑ (5.45)	21.9 ↑ (12.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palmeiras
84.9%

Draw
10.9%

Liverpool Montevideo
4.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75%

17.2%

7.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palmeiras's performance.

Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Palmeiras - Liverpool Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: Palmeiras will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Weverton (G) 2. Marcos Rocha 26. Murilo 15. Gomez G. (C) 22. Joaquin Piquerez 27. Rios R. 5. Moreno A. 41. Estevao 23. Raphael Veiga 31. Luis Guilherme 42. Flaco Lopez	21. Lentinelly S. (C) 24. Amaro K. 14. Rosso J. 3. de los Santos M. 18. Cayetano A. 6. Samudio M. 8. Barrios M. 7. Lemos L. 22. Garcia Cardozo D. G. 19. Rodriguez L. 11. Ocampo M.
Substitutes
19. Breno Lopes 16. Caio Paulista 9. Endrick 35. Fabinho 25. Gabriel Menino 17. Lazaro 13. Luan 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 12. Mayke 20. Romulo 10. Rony 6. Vanderlan	32. Bregante F. 17. Franco N. 10. Gonzalez A. 55. Guruceaga G. (G) 9. Machado R. 15. Rodriguez D. 2. Rodriguez I. 20. Vergara H. 31. Wasilewsky L.
Coaches
Ferreira A.	Alfaro E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Rosso J. ⚽,
14', Samudio M. 🟨,
18', Samudio M. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
21', Flaco Lopez 🟨,
31', Moreno A. 🟨,
45', Garcia Cardozo D. G. 🟨,
45+1', Cayetano A. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 1, Moreno A. ⚽, Raphael Veiga (A),
45+6', Ocampo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ocampo M. ↓, Franco N. ↑,
46', Luis Guilherme ↓, Rony ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Flaco Lopez ⚽, Raphael Veiga (A),
66', 3 - 1, Estevao ⚽, Raphael Veiga (A),
68', Estevao ↓, Mayke ↑,
68', Moreno A. ↓, Gabriel Menino ↑,
68', Garcia Cardozo D. G. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
69', Cayetano A. ↓, Bregante F. ↑,
72', Rodriguez I. 🟨,
79', Barrios M. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
86', Joaquin Piquerez ↓, Vanderlan ↑,
87', Flaco Lopez ↓, Endrick ↑,

Preview

Palmeiras is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Liverpool is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Palmeiras could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Palmeiras is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palmeiras
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
07.04.24	Palmeiras - Santos	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
03.04.24	San Lorenzo - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
31.03.24	Santos - Palmeiras	1:0 ✺
28.03.24	Palmeiras - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Palmeiras - Ponte Preta	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTLWW
- Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
07.04.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.04.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Independiente del Valle	1:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
30.03.24	Liverpool Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	1:1 ✺
15.03.24	Boston River - Liverpool Montevideo	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Danubio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTTTL

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