The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lobos UPNFM 28.2%
Draw 28.3%
CD Marathón 43.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31%
29.4%
39.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.7%
29.1%
40.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
CD Marathón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Lobos UPNFM - CD Marathón Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rougier J. (G)
19. Aguilera J.
22. Argueta C.
7. Castillo I.
9. Farioli B.
2. Figueroa H.
16. Martinez Hernandez F. E.
11. Messiniti N.
72. Moreno Y.
4. Rivera J.
8. Sorto Caballero T. A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Juan M. ↓, Carter D. ↑,
63', Glavocic J. ↓, Hurtado L. ↑,
66', Castillo I. ↓, Bueso J. ↑,
72', Argueta C. ↓, Perez C. ↑,
72', Messiniti N. ↓, Elis A. ↑,
77', Ponce J. 🟨,
84', Elvir S. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
85', Hinestroza Y. ↓, Erazo A. ↑,
88', Ponce J. ↓, Lopez B. ↑,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 9th and 3rd in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 0.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Recently, Lobos UPNFM has faced a series of away games on the road.
Marathón is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lobos UPNFM has recorded 4 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:37 (averaging 1.1:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lobos UPNFM against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 12:12 goals (averaging 1.2:1.2 per game).
Honduras
North Central America
Watch
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Rougier J. (G) 
Farioli B. 
Moreno Y. 
Rivera J. 
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