Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 18

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse (Choluteca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV
Usa	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com


	Lobos UPNFM		Real España

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.1
	3	3.38	2.07
	3.1	3.63	2.12	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3.13	3.54	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↓ (3.25)	3.39 ↑ (3.35)	2.11 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lobos UPNFM
29.8%

Draw
26.9%

Real España
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

27%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

26.8%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lobos UPNFM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Real España has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real España than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Lobos UPNFM - Real España Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lobos UPNFM will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Real España will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	22. Lopez L. (G)
	19. Aparicio D.
	5. Flores F.
	6. Garcia D.
	11. Hernandez E.
	14. Jean-Baptiste J.
	21. Palacios D.
	58. Palacios Y.
	7. Ritacco G.
	20. Romero C.
	18. Vuelto D.
Substitutes
	54. Arana M.
	16. Arzu E.
	39. Cacho D.
	4. Capeluto J.
	62. Chávez C.
	33. Fajardo M.
	27. Giron A.
	23. Lopez R. (G)
	34. Pike C.
	49. Reyes H. (G)
	26. Rodriguez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 0.

Lobos UPNFM has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Real España has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lobos UPNFM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Real España is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 16:33. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Lobos UPNFM won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Espana	8	5	3	0	13:4	9	18
9	UPNFM	8	2	2	4	7:12	-5	8

Last Results with these Odds

Real España - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 45.1%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional
05.04.26	Victoria La Ceiba - Lobos UPNFM	3:2 ✺
02.04.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Lobos UPNFM	0:0 ✺
23.03.26	Lobos UPNFM - Olancho	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Lobos UPNFM - Choloma	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	CD Marathón - Lobos UPNFM	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTWLL
- Real España
Honduras Liga Nacional
09.04.26	Choloma - Real España	3:2 ✺
06.04.26	Real España - Juticalpa	1:1 ✺
02.04.26	Real España - CD Marathón	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Motagua - Real España	1:1 ✺
18.03.26	Real España - Génesis PN	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
20.02.26	Real España - Lobos UPNFM	4:3
07.12.25	Lobos UPNFM - Real España	0:0
21.09.25	Real España - Lobos UPNFM	2:0
12.04.25	Real España - Lobos UPNFM	2:1
13.02.25	Lobos UPNFM - Real España	3:4
30.11.24	Real España - Lobos UPNFM	0:0
22.09.24	Lobos UPNFM - Real España	1:0

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