Match Info

Date: 30 July 2022, Saturday

Location: Kenilworth Road (Luton)

Referee: Scott G. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Serbia	Arena Sport


	Luton Town		Birmingham City

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.6	4.33
	1.85	3.5	4.33
	1.85	3.45	4.75
	1.83	3.5	4.2
	1.88	3.65	4.51
	1.83	3.5	4.2
	1.85	3.7	4.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.94)	3.56 ↑ (3.47)	4.39 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luton Town
51.6%

Draw
26.8%

Birmingham City
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

27.1%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.6%	11.1%	8.3%

Luton Town - Birmingham City Predictions

Users Predictions: Luton Town will win (29 of 36 users predict this - 80.56%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.63% – 93.49%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Luton has the most likely position - 14 (5.13%), has project points - 61, has currently - 0, has a small chance of relegated (11%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (14%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Birmingham has the most likely position - 23 (6.73%), has project points - 55, has currently - 0, has a chance of relegated (20%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (8%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 40, small importance 21, small match rating 30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Luton won 1.

Luton in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Luton have a series of guest games.

In this match Luton is a favorite.

There will not play in Luton: Ruddock P. (Injury) Shea J. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Luton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luton Town
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Luton Town - West Ham United	1:1 ✺
20.07.22	Peterborough United - Luton Town	0:2 ✺
16.07.22	Northampton Town - Luton Town	1:2 ✺
08.07.22	NK Bravo - Luton Town	1:2 ✺
01.07.22	Hitchin Town - Luton Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWWWW
- Birmingham City
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Birmingham City - Rayo Vallecano	2:2 ✺
19.07.22	Cheltenham Town - Birmingham City	1:0 ✺
16.07.22	Burton Albion - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
12.07.22	Portimonense - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
English League Championship
07.05.22	Birmingham City - Blackburn Rovers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
12.02.22	Birmingham City - Luton Town	3:0
21.08.21	Luton Town - Birmingham City	0:5
13.02.21	Birmingham City - Luton Town	0:1
24.11.20	Luton Town - Birmingham City	1:1
11.01.20	Luton Town - Birmingham City	1:2
26.10.19	Birmingham City - Luton Town	2:1

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