Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 28

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Selhurst Park (London)

Referee: Gill S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Cameroon	CRTV
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Action
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Premier League
Greece	Nova Sports
Malaysia	Astro
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
World	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Crystal Palace		Luton Town

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.8	4
	1.78	3.8	4.2
	1.82	3.9	4.45
	1.81	4	4.37
	1.82	3.99	4.37
	1.8	3.9	4
	1.84	4.09	4.42	Watch
	1.82	3.9	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.96)	3.92 ↑ (3.58)	4.23 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crystal Palace
52.9%

Draw
24.4%

Luton Town
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

26.6%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

26.1%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.9%	9.8%	24.4%

Crystal Palace - Luton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Crystal Palace will win (votes: 27 - 65.9%). Luton will win (votes: 10 - 24.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 51.4% – 80.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johnstone S. (G) 2. Ward J. (C) 16. Andersen J. 26. Richards C. 12. Munoz D. 8. Lerma J. 20. Wharton A. 3. Mitchell T. 9. Ayew J. 10. Eze E. 14. Mateta J.	24. Kaminski T. (G) 16. Burke R. 2. Osho G. 15. Mengi T. 12. Kabore I. 18. Clark J. 6. Barkley R. 45. Doughty A. 7. Ogbene C. 14. Chong T. 9. Morris C. (C)
Substitutes
29. Ahamada N. 17. Clyne N. 22. Edouard O. 30. Henderson D. (G) 19. Hughes W. 52. Ozoh D. 48. Plange L. 51. Rodney K. 5. Tomkins J.	8. Berry L. 27. Hashioka D. 23. Krul T. (G) 17. Mpanzu P. 43. Nelson Z. 44. Piesold A. 1. Shea J. (G) 30. Townsend A. 10. Woodrow C.
Coaches
Glasner O.	Edwards R.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

Crystal Palace is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Luton has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Luton have a series of home games.

In this match Crystal Palace is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Crystal Palace won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crystal Palace
English Premier League
02.03.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Crystal Palace	3:1 ✺
24.02.24	Crystal Palace - Burnley	3:0 ✺
19.02.24	Everton - Crystal Palace	1:1 ✺
12.02.24	Crystal Palace - Chelsea	1:3 ✺
03.02.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Crystal Palace	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWTLL
- Luton Town
English Premier League
02.03.24	Luton Town - Aston Villa	2:3 ✺
English FA Cup
27.02.24	Luton Town - Manchester City	2:6 ✺
English Premier League
21.02.24	Liverpool - Luton Town	4:1 ✺
18.02.24	Luton Town - Manchester United	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Luton Town - Sheffield United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
25.11.23	Luton Town - Crystal Palace	2:1

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