Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 16

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Kenilworth Road (Luton)

Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+


	Luton Town		Hull City

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.5
	2.1	3.4	3.5
	2.12	3.44	3.44
	2.17	3.48	3.54
	2.11	3.46	3.47	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3.5
	2.17	3.41	3.61	Watch
	2.12	3.44	3.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.02)	3.4 ↓ (3.54)	3.5 ↓ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luton Town
44.7%

Draw
28%

Hull City
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26.8%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

27.3%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Hull City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	27.3%	9.1%

Luton Town - Hull City Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Hull will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Kaminski T. (G) 15. Mengi T. 6. McGuinness M. 29. Holmes T. 16. Burke R. 26. Baptiste S. 8. Krauss T. 14. Chong T. 13. Nakamba M. 11. Adebayo E. 9. Morris C. (C)	1. Pandur I. (G) 2. Coyle L. (C) 5. Jones A. 4. Hughes C. 23. Drameh C. 18. Simons X. 27. Slater R. 10. Omur A. 20. Puerta G. 44. Kamara A. 12. Joao Pedro Galvao
Substitutes
5. Andersen M. 19. Brown J. 27. Hashioka D. 23. Krul T. (G) 7. Moses V. 17. Mpanzu P. 25. Taylor J. 20. Walsh L. 10. Woodrow C.	9. Bedia C. 48. Burstow M. 3. Giles R. 29. Jacob M. 16. Longman R. 6. McLoughlin S. 8. Mehlem M. 45. Palmer K. 31. Racioppi A. (G)
Coaches
Edwards R.	Walter T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Burke R. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, McGuinness M. ⚽,
37', Coyle L. 🟨,
39', Nakamba M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Baptiste S. ↓, Walsh L. ↑,
57', Puerta G. ↓, Longman R. ↑,
66', Burke R. ↓, Hashioka D. ↑,
66', Adebayo E. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
80', Omur A. ↓, Palmer K. ↑,
85', Krauss T. ↓, Mpanzu P. ↑,
87', Simons X. ↓, Bedia C. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 and 19).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Luton won 4.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Luton will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Luton: Andersen M. (Leg Injury) Burke R. (Groin Injury) Clark J. (Yellow Cards) Lockyer T. (Heart Problems) Walters R. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Hull: Alzate S. (Calf Injury) Belloumi M. (Knee Injury) Cartwright H. (Hand Injury) Lo-Tutala T. (Leg Injury) Millar L. (Knee Injury) Rushworth C. (Ankle Injury) Zambrano O. (Doping)

There are questionable in Luton: Doughty A. (Knock)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Luton won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.2:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luton Town
English League Championship
09.11.24	Middlesbrough - Luton Town	5:1 ✺
06.11.24	Luton Town - Cardiff City	1:0 ✺
01.11.24	Luton Town - West Bromwich Albion	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Coventry City - Luton Town	3:2 ✺
23.10.24	Luton Town - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWTLL
- Hull City
English League Championship
10.11.24	Hull City - West Bromwich Albion	1:2 ✺
05.11.24	Oxford United - Hull City	1:0 ✺
02.11.24	Hull City - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Derby County - Hull City	1:1 ✺
23.10.24	Hull City - Burnley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
08.05.23	Luton Town - Hull City	0:0
30.09.22	Hull City - Luton Town	0:2
19.03.22	Hull City - Luton Town	1:3
23.10.21	Luton Town - Hull City	1:0
18.07.20	Hull City - Luton Town	0:1
21.09.19	Luton Town - Hull City	0:3

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