The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oxford United 31.6%
Draw 31.1%
Luton Town 37.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.4%
27.1%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.4%
27.1%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oxford United's form might have worsened.
Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luton Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oxford United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luton Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
14.3%
42.9%
Oxford United - Luton Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 15 - 44.1%). Luton will win (votes: 14 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 14.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford: 27.4% – 60.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cumming J. (G) 30. Kioso P. 47. Helik M. 3. Brown C. 22. Leigh G. 4. Vaulks W. 8. Brannagan C. 7. Placheta P. 10. Phillips M. 23. Dembele S. 9. Harris M.
24. Kaminski T. (G) 27. Hashioka D. 6. McGuinness M. 29. Holmes T. 3. Bell A. 13. Nakamba M. 25. Jones I. 8. Krauss T. 18. Clark J. (C) 37. Nelson Z. 11. Adebayo E.
Substitutes
99. Bradshaw T. 15. El Mizouni I. 21. Ingram M. (G) 2. Long S. 18. Matos A. 20. Rodrigues R. 14. Sibley L. 24. ter Avest H. 77. ter Haar Romeny O.
5. Andersen M. 19. Brown J. 45. Doughty A. 23. Krul T. (G) 9. Morris C. 17. Mpanzu P. 20. Walsh L. 2. Walters R. 10. Woodrow C.
Coaches
Rowett G.
Bloomfield M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
10', Phillips M. 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Krauss T. ⚽, McGuinness M. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Helik M. ⚽, Brannagan C. (A),
24', Nelson Z. 🟨,
26', 1 - 2, McGuinness M. ⚽, Clark J. (A),
38', Krauss T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Jones I. 🟨,
59', 2 - 2, Brown C. ⚽, Brannagan C. (A),
60', Krauss T. ↓, Mpanzu P. ↑,
60', Adebayo E. ↓, Morris C. ↑,
61', Nelson Z. ↓, Doughty A. ↑,
61', Jones I. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
65', Harris M. ↓, Bradshaw T. ↑,
65', Phillips M. ↓, Matos A. ↑,
69', 3 - 2, Leigh G. ⚽, Vaulks W. (A),
80', Placheta P. ↓, ter Avest H. ↑,
81', Clark J. ↓, Woodrow C. ↑,
83', Brannagan C. 🟨,
90+1', Dembele S. ↓, Sibley L. ↑,
90+1', Brannagan C. ↓, Rodrigues R. ↑,
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Oxford won 1.
Recent matches Oxford is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Luton has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Oxford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Oxford have a series of guest games.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Oxford: Bennett J.
(Muscle Injury)
Dale O.
(Muscle Injury)
Long S.
(Muscle Injury)
Moore E.
(Groin Injury)
Nelson B.
(Hip Injury)
Woltman M.
(Leg Injury)
There will not play in Luton: Baptiste S.
(Calf Injury)
Burke R.
(Hip Injury)
Doughty A.
(Knock)
Lockyer T.
(Ankle Injury)
Mengi T.
(Groin Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Oxford won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:17 (average 1.5:2.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Oxford won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1.3:2).
Hungary
United-kingdom
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Cumming J. (G) 
Kioso P. 
Helik M. 
Brown C. 
Leigh G. 
Vaulks W. 
Phillips M. 
Kaminski T. (G) 
Hashioka D. 
McGuinness M. 
Nakamba M. 
Jones I. 
Krauss T. 
El Mizouni I. 
Rodrigues R. 
ter Avest H. 
Andersen M. 
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