Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 25

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN, Disney+, Dsports 8
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Ecuador	DAZN, DSports 8
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Paraguay	DAZN
Peru	Disney+
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
Uruguay	DAZN, DSports 8
Venezuela	DAZN, Disney+


	Málaga		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.72	3.45	4.65	Watch
	1.81	3.62	5.13
	1.75	3.66	4.85	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4.6
	1.74	3.55	5.07	Watch
	1.73	3.6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.78)	3.53 ↑ (3.51)	4.83 ↑ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
53.9%

Draw
26.7%

Leonesa
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

26.6%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

25.4%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	5.9%	11.8%

Málaga - Leonesa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Málaga will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Málaga will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrero A. (C) 3. Puga C. 16. Murillo D. 20. Montero J. 31. Rafita 10. Larrubia D. 12. Dotor C. 23. Merino I. 11. Munoz J. 9. Chupe 22. Lorenzo D.	13. Badia E. (G) 24. Garcia V. 4. Rodri Suarez (C) 36. Barzic M. 21. Hinojo R. 17. Calero I. 23. Diallo Selu M. 6. Maestre S. 20. Tresaco R. 10. Chacon L. 19. Sobrino R.
Substitutes
7. Abaida H. 25. Dorrio J. 2. Gabilondo J. 4. Galilea E. 17. Jauregi E. 8. Juanpe 24. Lobete J. 13. Lopez C. (G) 21. Nino A. 35. Ochoa A. 36. Recio A. 37. Rodriguez R.	12. Al Amin H. 1. Banuz M. (G) 14. Bicho 7. Collado D. 38. Cuello S. 5. Fornos Q. 8. Gonzalez Y. 9. Justo M. 11. Moreno V. 16. Ribeiro T. 2. Rodriguez P. 3. Satrustegui E.
Coaches
Funes J.	Ziganda C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Maestre S. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Calero I. ⚽, Diallo Selu M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lorenzo D. ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,
58', Badia E. 🟨,
63', 1 - 1, Larrubia D. ⚽, Chupe (A),
70', Merino I. ↓, Juanpe ↑,
70', Munoz J. ↓, Nino A. ↑,
77', Sobrino R. ↓, Collado D. ↑,
77', Diallo Selu M. ↓, Bicho ↑,
77', Tresaco R. ↓, Gonzalez Y. ↑,
79', Barzic M. 🟨,
81', Rodri Suarez 🟨,
81', Ochoa A. 🟨,
85', Hinojo R. 🟨,
85', Hinojo R. ↓, Satrustegui E. ↑,
87', Chupe ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
90+2', Calero I. ↓, Moreno V. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Larrubia D. ⚽,
90+5', Larrubia D. 🟨,
90+6', Dotor C. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
90+6', Collado D. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Málaga is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Leonesa is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Málaga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Málaga is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Málaga: Brasanac D. (Knee Injury) Diarra M. (Knee Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Garcia V. (Injury) Lobete J. (Knee Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury) Sanchez D. (Injury)

We predict that Málaga will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Málaga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
02.02.26	Mirandés - Málaga	2:1 ✺
23.01.26	Málaga - Burgos	3:0 ✺
18.01.26	Córdoba - Málaga	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Málaga - Ceuta	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.26	Málaga - Telstar	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LWWW?
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish LaLiga2
31.01.26	Leonesa - Deportivo A Coruña	0:1 ✺
26.01.26	Ceuta - Leonesa	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Leonesa - Sporting de Gijón	2:4 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.01.26	Leonesa - Athletic Bilbao	3:4 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
10.01.26	FC Andorra - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
17.11.25	Leonesa - Málaga	1:0

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