Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 13

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Mafra (Mafra)

Referee: Macedo C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV2


	Mafra		Marítimo

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.2
	3	2.95	2.2
	3.2	3.1	2.3
	3.42	3.1	2.37
	3.33	3.02	2.3
	3.2	3	2.15
	3.33	3	2.32
	3.2	3.1	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↓ (3.45)	3.05 ↓ (3.31)	2.27 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mafra
28.7%

Draw
30.4%

Marítimo
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

28.5%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

26.7%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Mafra - Marítimo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mafra will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Marítimo will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fraisl M. (G) 15. Guilherme (C) 4. Passi B. 66. Capitao D. 5. Beni D. 3. Chriso 20. Maiga Y. 10. Fale M. 9. Nibe A. 19. Iheanacho S. 90. Etim F.	1. Samu (G) 44. Correia R. 24. Da Rocha Borges R. 4. Santos Junior E. A. 2. Igor Juliao 18. Danilovic V. 98. Ibrahima 16. Carlos Daniel 7. Euller (C) 9. Borukov P. 29. Patrick
Substitutes
80. Goncalves V. 45. Kamara A. 17. Kolawole J. 7. Matos R. 6. Pereira P. 21. Precatado J. 32. Rodrigo Freitas 30. Ugboh M. (G)	88. Andrade R. 21. Domingos T. 45. Fabio China 17. Gomes Aguiar F. T. 11. Ponde C. 28. Rodrigues A. 8. Silva P. A. C. 99. Tabuaco G. (G) 79. Tavares M.
Coaches
Ferreira T.	Duarte R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Fale M. ⚽, Etim F. (A),
19', Beni D. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Carlos Daniel ⚽,
43', Ibrahima 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', Fale M. 🟨,
67', Igor Juliao ↓, Domingos T. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Euller ⚽,
72', 2 - 2, Etim F. ⚽,
73', Fale M. ↓, Rodrigo Freitas ↑,
74', Iheanacho S. ↓, Precatado J. ↑,
76', Ibrahima ↓, Tavares M. ↑,
76', Borukov P. ↓, Silva P. A. C. ↑,
90', Passi B. 🟥,
90+2', 2 - 3, Euller (Pen),
90+3', Maiga Y. ↓, Pereira P. ↑,
90+3', Carlos Daniel ↓, Fabio China ↑,
90+3', Euller ↓, Andrade R. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation) and 10).

Recent matches Mafra is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Marítimo is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Marítimo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Mafra won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Mafra won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mafra
Portuguese Liga 2
01.12.24	Penafiel - Mafra	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Mafra - Académico de Viseu	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	Felgueiras - Mafra	1:1 ✺
28.10.24	Mafra - Leiria	2:1 ✺
23.10.24	Porto B - Mafra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TLTWT
- CS Marítimo
Portuguese Liga 2
01.12.24	Marítimo - Benfica B	1:1 ✺
23.11.24	Feirense - Marítimo	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Leixões - Marítimo	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Marítimo - Penafiel	1:2 ✺
27.10.24	Felgueiras - Marítimo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
25.02.24	Mafra - Marítimo	0:0
30.09.23	Marítimo - Mafra	1:2
Taça de Portugal
15.10.22	Mafra - Marítimo	4:2 ET
Portuguese League Cup
28.07.18	Marítimo - Mafra	3:0

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