The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mafra 18.5%
Draw 27.3%
Rio Ave 54.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.8%
29.9%
45.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.5%
29.5%
45.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mafra's form might have worsened.
Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Ave's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mafra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rio Ave, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
6%
2%
92%
Mafra - Rio Ave Predictions
Users Predictions:
Rio Ave will win
(138 of 150 users predict this - 92%). Confidence interval (95%): 87.66% – 96.34%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion)).
Mafra is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Rio Ave is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Rio Ave is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Mafra won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
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