Match Info

WORLD: FIFA CLUB WORLD CUP - FINAL

Date: 22 December 2023, Friday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah)

Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Manchester City		Fluminense

	1	X	2
	1.25	6.5	10
	1.27	6.5	10.5
	1.25	6	13	Watch
	1.28	6.42	11
	1.27	6.42	10.83
	1.18	6.5	11
	1.27	7.2	13.25
	1.24	6.6	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.35)	6.52 ↑ (5.12)	11.45 ↑ (8.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester City
76.8%

Draw
14.8%

Fluminense
8.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.3%

18.5%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

16.7%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manchester City's performance.

Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manchester City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.8%	16.7%	12.5%

Manchester City - Fluminense Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Man City will win (votes: 17 - 70.8%). Fluminense will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 52.6% – 89%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ederson (G) 2. Walker K. (C) 5. Stones J. 3. Dias R. 6. Ake N. 82. Lewis R. 16. Rodri 47. Foden P. 20. Silva B. 10. Grealish J. 19. Alvarez J.	1. Fabio (G) 2. Samuel Xavier 33. Nino (C) 30. Felipe Melo 12. Marcelo 7. Andre 8. Martinelli L. M. 21. Arias J. 10. Ganso 11. Keno 14. Cano G.
Substitutes
25. Akanji M. 68. Alleyne M. 52. Bobb O. 33. Carson S. (G) 21. Gomez S. 24. Gvardiol J. 92. Hamilton M. 8. Kovacic M. 27. Nunes M. 18. Ortega S. (G) 4. Phillips K. 76. Susoho M.	5. Alexsander 20. Daniel 44. David Braz 40. Diogo Barbosa 38. Gonzalez Y. 23. Guga 9. John Kennedy 45. Lima 4. Marlon 22. Pedro Rangel (G) 29. Thiago Santos 98. Vitor Eudes (G)
Coaches
Guardiola P.	Diniz F.

Preview

Man City is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Fluminense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Man City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Man City have a series of guest games.

In this match Man City is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester City
FIFA Club World Cup
19.12.23	Urawa Red Diamonds - Manchester City	0:3 ✺
English Premier League
16.12.23	Manchester City - Crystal Palace	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.12.23	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Manchester City	2:3 ✺
English Premier League
10.12.23	Luton Town - Manchester City	1:2 ✺
06.12.23	Aston Villa - Manchester City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WTWWL
- Fluminense RJ
FIFA Club World Cup
18.12.23	Fluminense - Al Ahly Cairo	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
06.12.23	Fluminense - Grêmio	2:3 ✺
03.12.23	Palmeiras - Fluminense	1:0 ✺
29.11.23	Santos - Fluminense	0:3 ✺
25.11.23	Fluminense - Coritiba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLWW

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