Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 27 February 2024, Tuesday

Location: Kenilworth Road (Luton)

Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN
Canada	Sportsnet
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Denmark	Discovery+, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	beIN Sports
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Sport Premier League
Malaysia	Astro
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Luton Town		Manchester City

	1	X	2
	11	6	1.25	Watch
	10.5	6.25	1.26
	12	6	1.26	Watch
	10	6.4	1.25
	10.25	6.36	1.28
	10	5.8	1.22
	13	6.51	1.27	Watch
	11	6.2	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.97 ↑ (9.02)	6.19 ↑ (5.46)	1.26 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luton Town
8.7%

Draw
15.4%

Manchester City
75.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.5%

17.4%

72.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.2%

16.9%

74.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.5%	5.5%	89.1%

Luton Town - Manchester City Predictions

Users Predictions: Manchester City will win (49 of 55 users predict this - 89.09%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.85% – 97.33%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Krul T. (G) 15. Mengi T. 16. Burke R. 29. Bell A. 7. Ogbene C. 18. Clark J. 6. Barkley R. 45. Doughty A. 9. Morris C. (C) 14. Chong T. 10. Woodrow C.	18. Ortega S. (G) 2. Walker K. (C) 5. Stones J. 25. Akanji M. 6. Ake N. 8. Kovacic M. 27. Nunes M. 20. Silva B. 17. De Bruyne K. 10. Grealish J. 9. Haaland E.
Substitutes
8. Berry L. 27. Hashioka D. 38. Johnson J. 17. Mpanzu P. 43. Nelson Z. 2. Osho G. 44. Piesold A. 1. Shea J. (G) 30. Townsend A.	19. Alvarez J. 52. Bobb O. 3. Dias R. 11. Doku J. 31. Ederson (G) 47. Foden P. 21. Gomez S. 82. Lewis R. 16. Rodri
Coaches
Edwards R.	Guardiola P.

Preview

Luton is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Man City is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Man City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Man City is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Thigh Injury) Andersen M. (Calf Injury) Brown J. (Knee Injury) Lockyer T. (Heart Problems) Nakamba M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Man City: Gvardiol J. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Luton: Doughty A. (Injury) Hashioka D. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Luton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luton Town
English Premier League
21.02.24	Liverpool - Luton Town	4:1 ✺
18.02.24	Luton Town - Manchester United	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Luton Town - Sheffield United	1:3 ✺
03.02.24	Newcastle United - Luton Town	4:4 ✺
30.01.24	Luton Town - Brighton & Hove Albion	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LLLTW
- Manchester City
English Premier League
24.02.24	Bournemouth - Manchester City	0:1 ✺
20.02.24	Manchester City - Brentford	1:0 ✺
17.02.24	Manchester City - Chelsea	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.02.24	Copenhagen - Manchester City	1:3 ✺
English Premier League
10.02.24	Manchester City - Everton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
10.12.23	Luton Town - Manchester City	1:2

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