Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Reale Arena (San Sebastian) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kruzliak I. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Afghanistan	22:15	Meraj Sport, Meraj TV, Solh Sports 1
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	18:45	SuperSport 1
Argentina	14:45	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, Q Arena Asia, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Servus TV, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
Belgium	18:45	Play6, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 6
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	14:45	Caze TV
Bulgaria	19:45	Max Sport 3
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
Chile	14:45	Disney+
China	01:45	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:45	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:45	Sport 1
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	18:45	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
Germany	18:45	RTL+, Servus TV
Greece	19:45	COSMOTE Sport 5
Hungary	18:45	RTL+
Iceland	17:45	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	23:15	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	17:45	Premier Sports 1 ROI
Israel	19:45	Sport 2
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253
Japan	02:45	Wowow Prime
Kazakhstan	23:45	Qazsport
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	11:45	Claro Sports, Disney+, ESPN 2
Montenegro	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Netherlands	18:45	Sporza, Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	06:45	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	18:45	Supersport Maximo 2
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North Macedonia	18:45	Arena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
Norway	18:45	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Papua New Guinea	03:45	TVWan Sports
Peru	12:45	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
Poland	18:45	Polsat Sport Premium 4
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 1
Romania	19:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	01:45	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovenia	18:45	SportKlub 1
South Africa	19:45	SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South Korea	02:45	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	18:45	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ Liga de Campeones
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	00:45	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	20:45	Tabii
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Kingdom	17:45	BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	14:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	Paramount+, TUDN
Venezuela	13:45	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus
International	17:45	Disney+


	Real Sociedad		Manchester United

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.1	3.25
	2.05	3.2	3.8
	2.45	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.42	3.12	3.35
	2.37	3.13	3.24	Watch
	2.38	3.1	3.25
	2.42	3.16	3.31
	2.45	3.1	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.33)	3.13 ↓ (3.29)	3.34 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
40.6%

Draw
30.7%

Manchester United
28.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.1%

29.2%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

29.2%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	33.3%	20%

Real Sociedad - Manchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: 65 users predict this event. Real Sociedad will win (votes: 33 - 50.8%). Man Utd will win (votes: 12 - 18.5%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 38.6% – 63%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Remiro A. (G) 6. Elustondo A. 21. Aguerd N. 5. Zubeldia I. 3. Munoz A. 24. Sucic L. 22. Turrientes B. 23. Mendez B. 14. Kubo T. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C) 7. Barrenetxea A.	24. Onana A. (G) 3. Mazraoui N. 4. de Ligt M. 15. Yoro L. 20. Dalot D. 18. Casemiro 8. Fernandes B. (C) 13. Dorgu P. 11. Zirkzee J. 9. Hojlund R. 17. Garnacho A.
Substitutes
19. Aramburu J. 11. Becker S. 37. Beitia L. 17. Gomez S. 12. Lopez J. 40. Mariezkurrena A. 28. Marin P. 13. Marrero U. (G) 31. Martin J. 16. Olasagasti J. A. 9. Oskarsson O. 18. Traore H.	41. Amass H. 43. Collyer T. 14. Eriksen C. 50. Harrison E. (G) 26. Heaven A. 2. Lindelof V. 45. Mee D. (G)
Coaches
Alguacil I.	Amorim R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Zubeldia I. 🟨,
56', Fernandes B. 🟨,
57', 0 - 1, Zirkzee J. ⚽, Garnacho A. (A),
63', Turrientes B. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
63', Barrenetxea A. ↓, Oskarsson O. ↑,
63', Elustondo A. ↓, Aramburu J. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Oyarzabal M. (Pen),
77', Garnacho A. ↓, Eriksen C. ↑,
80', Kubo T. ↓, Becker S. ↑,
87', Yoro L. ↓, Lindelof V. ↑,
87', Zirkzee J. ↓, Collyer T. ↑,
88', Sucic L. ↓, Olasagasti J. A. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Real Sociedad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Real Sociedad will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Odriozola A. (Injury) Pacheco J. (Muscle Injury) Zakharyan A. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Man Utd: Bayindir A. (Injury) Collyer T. (Knock) Diallo A. (Ankle Injury) Evans J. (Muscle Injury) Mainoo K. (Injury) Martinez Li. (Knee Injury) Mount M. (Leg Injury) Shaw L. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Real Sociedad: Zubimendi M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Man Utd: Maguire H. (Knock)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Sociedad won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:5 (average 0:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
02.03.25	Barcelona - Real Sociedad	4:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
26.02.25	Real Sociedad - Real Madrid	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
23.02.25	Real Sociedad - Leganés	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.02.25	Real Sociedad - Midtjylland	5:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
16.02.25	Betis - Real Sociedad	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWWL
- Manchester United
English FA Cup
02.03.25	Manchester United - Fulham	1:2 penalties ✺
English Premier League
26.02.25	Manchester United - Ipswich Town	3:2 ✺
22.02.25	Everton - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
16.02.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester United	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
07.02.25	Manchester United - Leicester City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
03.11.22	Real Sociedad - Manchester United	0:1
08.09.22	Manchester United - Real Sociedad	0:1
25.02.21	Manchester United - Real Sociedad	0:0
18.02.21	Real Sociedad - Manchester United	0:4
UEFA Champions League
05.11.13	Real Sociedad - Manchester United	0:0
23.10.13	Manchester United - Real Sociedad	1:0

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