Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Reale Arena (San Sebastian)

Referee: Kruzliak I. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Real Sociedad		Manchester United

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.1	3.25
	2.05	3.2	3.8
	2.45	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.42	3.12	3.35
	2.37	3.13	3.24	Watch
	2.38	3.1	3.25
	2.42	3.16	3.31
	2.45	3.1	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.33)	3.13 ↓ (3.29)	3.34 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
40.6%

Draw
30.7%

Manchester United
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

29.2%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

29.3%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	33.3%	20%

Real Sociedad - Manchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: 65 users predict this event. Real Sociedad will win (votes: 33 - 50.8%). Man Utd will win (votes: 12 - 18.5%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 38.6% – 63%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Remiro A. (G) 6. Elustondo A. 21. Aguerd N. 5. Zubeldia I. 3. Munoz A. 24. Sucic L. 22. Turrientes B. 23. Mendez B. 14. Kubo T. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C) 7. Barrenetxea A.	24. Onana A. (G) 3. Mazraoui N. 4. de Ligt M. 15. Yoro L. 20. Dalot D. 18. Casemiro 8. Fernandes B. (C) 13. Dorgu P. 11. Zirkzee J. 9. Hojlund R. 17. Garnacho A.
Substitutes
19. Aramburu J. 11. Becker S. 37. Beitia L. 17. Gomez S. 12. Lopez J. 40. Mariezkurrena A. 28. Marin P. 13. Marrero U. (G) 31. Martin J. 16. Olasagasti J. A. 9. Oskarsson O. 18. Traore H.	41. Amass H. 43. Collyer T. 14. Eriksen C. 50. Harrison E. (G) 26. Heaven A. 2. Lindelof V. 45. Mee D. (G)
Coaches
Alguacil I.	Amorim R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Zubeldia I. 🟨,
56', Fernandes B. 🟨,
57', 0 - 1, Zirkzee J. ⚽, Garnacho A. (A),
63', Turrientes B. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
63', Barrenetxea A. ↓, Oskarsson O. ↑,
63', Elustondo A. ↓, Aramburu J. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Oyarzabal M. (Pen),
77', Garnacho A. ↓, Eriksen C. ↑,
80', Kubo T. ↓, Becker S. ↑,
87', Yoro L. ↓, Lindelof V. ↑,
87', Zirkzee J. ↓, Collyer T. ↑,
88', Sucic L. ↓, Olasagasti J. A. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Real Sociedad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Real Sociedad will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Odriozola A. (Injury) Pacheco J. (Muscle Injury) Zakharyan A. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Man Utd: Bayindir A. (Injury) Collyer T. (Knock) Diallo A. (Ankle Injury) Evans J. (Muscle Injury) Mainoo K. (Injury) Martinez Li. (Knee Injury) Mount M. (Leg Injury) Shaw L. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Real Sociedad: Zubimendi M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Man Utd: Maguire H. (Knock)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Sociedad won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:5 (average 0:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
02.03.25	Barcelona - Real Sociedad	4:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
26.02.25	Real Sociedad - Real Madrid	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
23.02.25	Real Sociedad - Leganés	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.02.25	Real Sociedad - Midtjylland	5:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
16.02.25	Betis - Real Sociedad	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWWL
- Manchester United
English FA Cup
02.03.25	Manchester United - Fulham	1:2 penalties ✺
English Premier League
26.02.25	Manchester United - Ipswich Town	3:2 ✺
22.02.25	Everton - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
16.02.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester United	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
07.02.25	Manchester United - Leicester City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
03.11.22	Real Sociedad - Manchester United	0:1
08.09.22	Manchester United - Real Sociedad	0:1
25.02.21	Manchester United - Real Sociedad	0:0
18.02.21	Real Sociedad - Manchester United	0:4
UEFA Champions League
05.11.13	Real Sociedad - Manchester United	0:0
23.10.13	Manchester United - Real Sociedad	1:0

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