Match Info

FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Turf Moor (Burnley) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ward G. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, Supersport Action
Argentina	12:00	Disney+
Australia	02:00	Stan Sport
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Brazil	12:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	17:00	Nova Sport
Cameroon	16:00	CRTV Sports
China	23:00	Migu
Denmark	16:00	Viaplay
Finland	17:00	Viaplay 1 Urheilu
Germany	16:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	23:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports Prime
Hungary	16:00	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	15:00	Viaplay
India	20:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	22:00	Vidio
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia, Discovery+
Japan	00:00	U-NEXT
Kenya	18:00	Gotv
Malaysia	23:00	SKY NET Sports 2
Mauritius	19:00	MBC 11
Mexico	09:00	HBO Max
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	04:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	16:00	SuperSport Action
Norway	16:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	20:00	Tapmad
Peru	10:00	Disney+
Romania	17:00	Voyo
South Africa	17:00	SuperSport Variety 3
South Korea	00:00	Coupang Play
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Uruguay	12:00	Disney+
Usa	10:00	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	11:00	Disney+
Vietnam	22:00	FPT Play


	Burnley		Mansfield Town

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.5	7.5
	1.44	4.7	6.9
	1.44	4.75	7.43
	1.16	6.45	20.11	Watch
	1.4	4.2	6.5
	1.41	4.5	7.38	Watch
	1.4	4.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.43)	4.84 ↑ (4.46)	8.97 ↑ (6.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burnley
69.5%

Draw
19.8%

Mansfield Town
10.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.2%

20.9%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

21.2%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	18.7%	6.2%

Burnley - Mansfield Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Burnley (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Mansfield (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Burnley will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Weiss M. (G) 17. Tchaouna L. 18. Ekdal H. 5. Esteve M. (C) 3. Hartman Q. 20. Ward-Prowse J. 16. Florentino 29. Laurent J. 7. Bruun Larsen J. 35. Barnes A. 9. Foster L.	1. Roberts L. (G) 2. Knoyle K. 23. Oshilaja A. 20. Blake-Tracy F. 3. McLaughlin S. 13. Russell J. 25. Reed L. (C) 7. Akins L. 18. Oates R. 8. Lewis A. 11. Evans W.
Substitutes
48. Agyei E. 10. Edwards M. 19. Flemming Z. 32. Hladky V. (G) 12. Humphreys B. 23. Lucas Pires 28. Mejbri H. 8. Ugochukwu L. 4. Worrall J.	19. Adeboyejo V. 27. Bolton L. 14. Dwyer D. 28. Gardner J. 24. Hendry R. 4. Hewitt E. 44. Irow O. 21. Lewis H. (G) 22. Moriah-Welsh N.
Coaches
Parker S.	Clough N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Laurent J. ⚽, Foster L. (A),
37', Ekdal H. 🟨,
40', Barnes A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 1 - 1, Oates R. ⚽, Knoyle K. (A),
56', Laurent J. 🟨,
58', Akins L. 🟨,
59', Evans W. 🟨,
60', Russell J. ↓, Hendry R. ↑,
66', Bruun Larsen J. ↓, Mejbri H. ↑,
66', Tchaouna L. ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
78', Florentino 🟨,
80', 1 - 2, Reed L. ⚽,
81', Barnes A. ↓, Ugochukwu L. ↑,
81', Florentino ↓, Flemming Z. ↑,
83', Knoyle K. ↓, Hewitt E. ↑,
84', Oates R. ↓, Bolton L. ↑,
84', Evans W. ↓, Adeboyejo V. ↑,
90+1', Ward-Prowse J. ↓, Lucas Pires ↑,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Mansfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Burnley is the obvious favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Outrights of English FA Cup for now

Burnley: 0.78%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burnley FC
English Premier League
11.02.26	Crystal Palace - Burnley	2:3 ✺
07.02.26	Burnley - West Ham United	0:2 ✺
02.02.26	Sunderland - Burnley	3:0 ✺
24.01.26	Burnley - Tottenham Hotspur	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Liverpool - Burnley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.7 WLLTT
- Mansfield Town
English League One
10.02.26	Mansfield Town - Peterborough United	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Mansfield Town - Exeter City	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Mansfield Town - Wycombe Wanderers	0:0 ✺
27.01.26	Plymouth Argyle - Mansfield Town	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Stevenage Borough - Mansfield Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTTTT

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