Match Info

FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Turf Moor (Burnley)

Referee: Ward G. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, Supersport Action
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
China	Migu
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports Prime
Hungary	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia, Discovery+
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Malaysia	SKY NET Sports 2
Mauritius	MBC 11
Mexico	HBO Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport Action
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Romania	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play


	Burnley		Mansfield Town

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.5	7.5
	1.44	4.7	6.9
	1.44	4.75	7.43
	1.16	6.45	20.11	Watch
	1.4	4.2	6.5
	1.41	4.5	7.38	Watch
	1.4	4.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.43)	4.84 ↑ (4.46)	8.97 ↑ (6.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Burnley
69.5%

Draw
19.8%

Mansfield Town
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

20.9%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

22.7%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	18.7%	6.2%

Burnley - Mansfield Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Burnley (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Mansfield (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Burnley will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Weiss M. (G) 17. Tchaouna L. 18. Ekdal H. 5. Esteve M. (C) 3. Hartman Q. 20. Ward-Prowse J. 16. Florentino 29. Laurent J. 7. Bruun Larsen J. 35. Barnes A. 9. Foster L.	1. Roberts L. (G) 2. Knoyle K. 23. Oshilaja A. 20. Blake-Tracy F. 3. McLaughlin S. 13. Russell J. 25. Reed L. (C) 7. Akins L. 18. Oates R. 8. Lewis A. 11. Evans W.
Substitutes
48. Agyei E. 10. Edwards M. 19. Flemming Z. 32. Hladky V. (G) 12. Humphreys B. 23. Lucas Pires 28. Mejbri H. 8. Ugochukwu L. 4. Worrall J.	19. Adeboyejo V. 27. Bolton L. 14. Dwyer D. 28. Gardner J. 24. Hendry R. 4. Hewitt E. 44. Irow O. 21. Lewis H. (G) 22. Moriah-Welsh N.
Coaches
Parker S.	Clough N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Laurent J. ⚽, Foster L. (A),
37', Ekdal H. 🟨,
40', Barnes A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 1 - 1, Oates R. ⚽, Knoyle K. (A),
56', Laurent J. 🟨,
58', Akins L. 🟨,
59', Evans W. 🟨,
60', Russell J. ↓, Hendry R. ↑,
66', Bruun Larsen J. ↓, Mejbri H. ↑,
66', Tchaouna L. ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
78', Florentino 🟨,
80', 1 - 2, Reed L. ⚽,
81', Barnes A. ↓, Ugochukwu L. ↑,
81', Florentino ↓, Flemming Z. ↑,
83', Knoyle K. ↓, Hewitt E. ↑,
84', Oates R. ↓, Bolton L. ↑,
84', Evans W. ↓, Adeboyejo V. ↑,
90+1', Ward-Prowse J. ↓, Lucas Pires ↑,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Mansfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Burnley is the obvious favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Outrights of English FA Cup for now

Burnley: 0.71%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burnley FC
English Premier League
11.02.26	Crystal Palace - Burnley	2:3 ✺
07.02.26	Burnley - West Ham United	0:2 ✺
02.02.26	Sunderland - Burnley	3:0 ✺
24.01.26	Burnley - Tottenham Hotspur	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Liverpool - Burnley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.7 WLLTT
- Mansfield Town
English League One
10.02.26	Mansfield Town - Peterborough United	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Mansfield Town - Exeter City	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Mansfield Town - Wycombe Wanderers	0:0 ✺
27.01.26	Plymouth Argyle - Mansfield Town	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Stevenage Borough - Mansfield Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTTTT

Upcoming Matches