The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mansfield Town 60%
Draw 23.9%
Carlisle United 16.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45%
28.6%
26.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.8%
27.5%
25.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mansfield Town's performance.
Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlisle United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mansfield Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlisle United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
64%
8%
28%
Mansfield Town - Carlisle United Predictions
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 16 - 64%). Carlisle will win (votes: 7 - 28%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Mansfield: 45.2% – 82.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs) and 12).
Mansfield has the most likely position - 2 (11.83%), has project points - 77, has currently - 12, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (31%), has a chance of promoted (41%), has a small chance of win league (11%).
Carlisle has the most likely position - 23 (7.6%), has project points - 54, has currently - 9, has a small chance of relegated (14%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 1.
Mansfield is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Carlisle is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recently Carlisle have a series of home games.
In this match Mansfield is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Mansfield to win the game is with odds 1.74.
Last 17 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 27-23.
Including matches at home between the teams Mansfield won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-7.
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