The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sunderland 52%
Draw 26.9%
Reading 21.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.2%
27.3%
24.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.3%
27.2%
24.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
68%
12%
20%
Sunderland - Reading Predictions
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Sunderland will win (votes: 17 - 68%). Reading will win (votes: 5 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland: 49.7% โ 86.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 9 and 17).
Sunderland has the most likely position - 8 (8.65%), has project points - 66, has currently - 42, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (24%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Reading has the most likely position - 17 (9.49%), has project points - 59, has currently - 38, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality41, small importance12, small match rating27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 2.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Sunderland could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Sunderland is a favorite.
There will not play in Sunderland: Cirkin D.
(Injury)
Embleton E.
(Ankle Injury)
Evans C.
(Knee Injury)
Gooch L.
(Hip Injury)
Stewart R.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Reading: Hutchinson S.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Reading: Baba A.
(Injury)
Ejaria O.
(Injury)
Holmes T.
(Injury)
Ince T.
(Injury)
Joao L.
(Injury)
Moore L.
(Injury)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Sunderland won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.
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