Match Info

Date: 30 April 2022, Saturday


	Millwall		Peterborough United

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	7
	1.46	4.6	6.75
	1.48	4.5	7
	1.42	4.6	6.8
	1.45	4.79	7.49
	1.42	4.33	7.5
	1.45	4.7	7.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.63)	4.61 ↑ (3.75)	7.12 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Millwall
65.9%

Draw
20.7%

Peterborough United
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

24.9%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

24.9%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Millwall's performance.

Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Millwall that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96.6%	0%	3.4%

Millwall - Peterborough United Predictions

Users Predictions: Millwall will win (28 of 29 users predict this - 96.55%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.91% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 9 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

Peterborough is Relegated to League One

Millwall has the most likely position - 8 (35.29%), has project points - 69, has currently - 66, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Peterborough has the most likely position - 22 (65.06%), has project points - 36, has currently - 34, was already of relegated.

This event has quality 34, very small importance 0, small match rating 17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Millwall won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Millwall is indisputable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Millwall won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Millwall won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Millwall
English League Championship
23.04.22	Birmingham City - Millwall	2:2 ✺
18.04.22	Millwall - Hull City	2:1 ✺
15.04.22	Preston North End - Millwall	1:1 ✺
09.04.22	Millwall - Barnsley	4:1 ✺
05.04.22	Millwall - Swansea City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWTWL
- Peterborough United
English League Championship
23.04.22	Peterborough United - Nottingham Forest	0:1 ✺
18.04.22	Barnsley - Peterborough United	0:2 ✺
15.04.22	Peterborough United - Blackburn Rovers	2:1 ✺
09.04.22	Bristol City - Peterborough United	1:1 ✺
05.04.22	Peterborough United - Luton Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
11.12.21	Peterborough United - Millwall	2:1
English League One
28.02.17	Millwall - Peterborough United	1:0
16.08.16	Peterborough United - Millwall	5:1
20.02.16	Millwall - Peterborough United	3:0
03.10.15	Peterborough United - Millwall	5:3
English EFL Trophy
01.09.15	Millwall - Peterborough United	1:0
English League Championship
19.02.13	Millwall - Peterborough United	1:5

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